990
FXUS64 KCRP 162308
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
608 PM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 606 PM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
- RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 PM THIS EVENING
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE TUESDAY
- ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES FROM THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND
- SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 130 PM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
WINDS WILL BEGIN TO GRADUALLY DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS
WE HEAD INTO TONIGHT. WINDS SHOULD HAVE DECREASED TO UNDER 20 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH LIGHT WINDS OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL PICK UP AGAIN
TOMORROW BUT REMAIN UNDER 20 MPH. AFTER ONE MORE COOL DAY TUESDAY, A
WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEDNESDAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES BACK IN PLACE BY LATE NEXT WEEK. RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED
AT THIS TIME THIS WEEK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 606 PM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE. PREVAILING
LINES ACCOUNT FOR THE WIND SHIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE RETURN OF
ONSHORE FLOW BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 130 PM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE WINDS
WILL BE DECREASING, A STRONG BREEZE WILL REMAIN THROUGH MIDNIGHT
WHICH HAS PROMPTED THE CONTINUATION OF THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. A
GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZE (BF 3-4) WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST
TUESDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. RAIN IS NOT
EXPECTED THROUGH THIS WEEK.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 130 PM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BETWEEN 10-20% WILL CONTINUE
THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE IMPROVING TO THE 30-40% RANGE ALONG THE COAST
TUESDAY. ELSEWHERE, RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL RANGE FROM THE 10-
25% RANGE. THESE STRONG WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO GRADUALLY DECREASE
THIS AFTERNOON WITH LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
WINDS WILL INCREASE TOMORROW ONCE AGAIN BUT REMAIN MANAGEABLE UNDER
25 MPH ON TUESDAY. WHILE WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER TOMORROW, THE
CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES COMBINED WITH ELEVATED ENERGY
RELEASE COMPONENT VALUES COULD STILL LEAD TO ELEVATED TO CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 44 67 53 76 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 34 66 46 78 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 44 73 51 85 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 40 71 47 81 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 46 66 57 75 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 39 72 48 84 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 42 69 49 79 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 51 65 58 73 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ229>234-
239>247-342>344-346-347.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR GMZ231-232-236-
237-250-255-270-275.
DISCUSSION...JCP/84
AVIATION...AE/82
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