960
FXUS64 KCRP 171059
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
559 AM CDT TUE MAR 17 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 548 AM CDT TUE MAR 17 2026
- COOL START TO THE LAST WEEK OF WINTER
- BACK INTO WIDESPREAD 90S FOR INLAND LOCATIONS THIS WEEKEND
- ENHANCED FIRE RISK DAILY THIS WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 113 AM CDT TUE MAR 17 2026
A HIGH CLOUD DECK WILL BE PUSHING SOUTH, ALLOWING FOR CLEARING SKIES
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. WITH CALM SURFACE WINDS, RADIATIONAL COOLING
WILL ALLOW SURFACE TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE MID-TO-UPPER 30S
FOR MOST INLAND LOCATIONS THIS MORNING, WITH THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS
AND THE COASTAL BEND DROPPING INTO THE LOW 40S. WITH PLENTY OF DRY
AIR STILL IN PLACE, AFTERNOON HIGHS ARE LOOKING TO TOP IN THE LOW
70S ACROSS MOST INLAND LOCATIONS IN THE MID-TO-UPPER 60S CLOSER TO
THE COAST.
BY WEDNESDAY, AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL RETURN CLOSER TO NORMAL VALUES
AND REACHING BACK INTO THE MID-TO-UPPER 90S ONCE AGAIN BY THIS
WEEKEND. TO ESCAPE THIS HEAT, ONE ONLY NEEDS TO VISIT OUR LOCAL
BEACHES WHERE RELATIVELY COOLER SHELF WATERS WILL ALLOW HIGHS ONLY
TO REACH THE UPPER 70S/LOW 80S. THAT SAID, ABUNDANT SUNSHINE STILL
CALLS FOR SKIN PROTECTION FROM THE SUN'S UV RAYS.
UNFORTUNATELY, RIDGE INFLUENCE AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER MUCH
OF THE GULF WILL KEEP ANY FUTURE FRONTAL SYSTEMS FROM HAVING MUCH
INFLUENCE OVER OUR FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS AND THUS MEANING
LITTLE OPPORTUNITY FOR BENEFICIAL RAINFALL.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 548 AM CDT TUE MAR 17 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TODAY. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO
THE SOUTHEAST BETWEEN 16Z AND 22Z.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 113 AM CDT TUE MAR 17 2026
EXPECT GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF 3-4) ONSHORE FLOW WITH 2-3 FT SEAS
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. AFTERNOON WINDS WILL GUST AS HIGH
AS FRESH STRENGTH (BF 5) IN THE BAYS AND NEARSHORE WATERS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 113 AM CDT TUE MAR 17 2026
WHILE WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER TODAY COMPARED TO YESTERDAY, THE
CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES COMBINED WITH ELEVATED
ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENT VALUES COULD STILL LEAD TO ELEVATED TO
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. FROM MID-WEEK, STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE ALOFT WILL REDUCE WIND SPEEDS BUT PROMOTE ABNORMALLY WARM
AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS WHICH COULD FACILITATE HIGH
RATES OF DRYING IN DEAD SURFACE FUEL. MIN RH VALUES WILL BOTTOM OUT
IN THE 15-20% EACH AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 66 52 76 56 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 65 45 77 51 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 73 50 84 57 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 71 46 82 54 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 66 56 74 62 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 71 47 84 54 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 69 48 79 54 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 65 58 73 62 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR GMZ250-255-
270-275.
DISCUSSION...AE/82
AVIATION...LS/77
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