865
FXUS64 KCRP 171924
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
224 PM CDT TUE MAR 17 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 130 PM CDT TUE MAR 17 2026
- BACK INTO WIDESPREAD 90S FOR INLAND LOCATIONS THIS WEEKEND
- ELEVATED FIRE RISK DAILY THIS WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 130 PM CDT TUE MAR 17 2026
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER REGION THROUGH THE
FORECAST CYCLE. ALTHOUGH A FEW DISTURBANCES WILL TRACK IN THE
EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID LEVEL RIDGE, MOISTURE WILL REMAIN
LIMITED WITH PWATS GENERALLY LESS THAN 1" RESULTING IN RAIN-FREE
CONDITIONS THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY NEXT WEEK.
A WARMING TREND BEGINS TONIGHT, WITH WELL ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES RETURNING BY THURSDAY. HIGHS WILL APPROACH THE TRIPLE
DIGITS BY SATURDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE BRUSH COUNTRY AND RIO
GRANDE PLAINS, WITH WIDESPREAD HIGHS IN THE 90S ACROSS THE REST OF
THE CWA. ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST DAILY
THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 130 PM CDT TUE MAR 17 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE AT AREA
TERMINALS. WINDS WILL BE SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST THIS
AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 15-20 KNOTS AT TIMES. A LIGHT SOUTHERLY
FLOW CAN BE EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 130 PM CDT TUE MAR 17 2026
A GENTLE TO MODERATE EASTERLY BREEZE (BF 3-4) TODAY WILL SHIFT TO
THE SOUTHEAST TONIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THIS WEEK.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 130 PM CDT TUE MAR 17 2026
WHILE WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER TODAY COMPARED TO YESTERDAY, THE
CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES COMBINED WITH ELEVATED
ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENT VALUES COULD STILL LEAD TO ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS. FROM MID-WEEK, STRONG HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT
WILL REDUCE WIND SPEEDS BUT PROMOTE ABNORMALLY WARM AND DRY
CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS WHICH COULD FACILITATE HIGH RATES
OF DRYING IN DEAD SURFACE FUEL. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL BOTTOM OUT
IN THE 15-20% EACH AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 51 76 57 82 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 44 78 51 83 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 50 84 57 89 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 46 81 53 87 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 56 75 62 78 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 46 83 54 89 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 48 79 54 84 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 58 72 63 76 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ANM/88
AVIATION...ANM/88
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