138
FXUS64 KCRP 180647
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
134 AM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 132 AM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE BRUSH COUNTRY AND INLAND
COASTAL PLAINS DAILY THROUGH MONDAY
- BESIDES ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER, BENIGN RAIN-FREE WEATHER AND
WARMING TREND CONTINUES INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 132 AM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
A LARGE RIDGE OVER THE SW CONUS WILL DOMINATE THE FORECAST, WITH A BENIGN
RAIN-FREE WARMING TREND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK OVER SOUTH TEXAS.
MOSTLY CLEAR AND NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE WILL
PERSIST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO
THE MID TO UPPER 90S THIS WEEKEND OVER THE BRUSH COUNTRY, WITH
WIDESPREAD LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. JUST BEYOND THE CURRENT
FORECAST INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, MODELS ARE NOT IN GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH THE SYNOPTIC FLOW.
OUR MAIN CONCERN WILL REMAIN DAILY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
DEVELOPING DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS OVER THE
BRUSH COUNTRY AND INLAND COASTAL PLAINS. ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL REMAIN
GENERALLY BELOW CRITICAL CRITERIA, OCCASIONAL MODERATE WIND GUSTS IN
COMBINATION WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15-30% AND CRITICALLY DRY
FUELS, WILL PROMOTE ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 132 AM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. SOUTHEAST WINDS UNDER 10 KNOTS WILL INCREASE TO 12-15
KNOTS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING TO UNDER 10 KNOTS ONCE
AGAIN WEDNESDAY EVENING.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 132 AM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
A GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF 3-4) SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY BREEZE WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. WINDS WILL OCCASIONALLY STRENGTHEN
TO A FRESH BREEZE (BF 5) OVER THE BAYS AND NEARSHORE WATERS SOUTH
OF PORT ARANSAS THIS WEEKEND. NO RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED AT
THIS TIME.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 132 AM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY BELOW CRITICAL CRITERIA,
OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH IN COMBINATION WITH RELATIVE
HUMIDITY OF 15-30% AND CRITICALLY DRY FUELS OVER THE BRUSH COUNTRY
AND INLAND COASTAL PLAINS, WILL PROMOTE ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS. THEREFORE, A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
DUVAL, MCMULLEN, LA SALLE, AND WEBB COUNTIES FROM MID-AFTERNOON
TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING. WE CAN EXPECT SIMILAR CONDITIONS DAILY
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH THE ADDITION OF WARMING TREND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 76 56 82 57 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 76 51 82 54 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 84 56 88 58 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 81 52 87 55 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 74 61 77 61 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 83 53 87 56 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 79 53 84 54 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 72 62 75 62 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...EMF/94
AVIATION...LS/77
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