753
FXUS64 KCRP 090707
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
207 AM CDT THU APR 9 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 205 AM CDT THU APR 9 2026
- LOW TO MEDIUM RAINFALL CHANCES LATE THIS WEEK
- INCREASING TEMPERATURES REST OF THE WEEK
- MINOR COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE DURING HIGH TIDE
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 205 AM CDT THU APR 9 2026
A MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE CURRENTLY OVER NORTHERN MEXICO WILL MOVE
ACROSS OUR CWA THURSDAY/EARLY FRIDAY BRINGING A MODERATE 50-70%
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY. AFTERWHICH, CHANCES
DECREASE TO A LOW ~20-30% CHANCE FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND WITH
SOME POCKETS MODERATE CHANCES OVER SOME NORTHERN TIER COUNTIES AND
THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS. TEMPERATURES AND MOISTURE ARE TRENDING UP
DUE TO PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW. DAILY HIGHS WILL REACH THE LOW TO
MID 80S WITH 90S ENTERING BACK INTO THE FORECAST BY MONDAY OUT WEST.
PERSISTENT ONSHORE WINDS AND LONG-PERIOD SWELLS MAY RESULT IN MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING DURING TIMES OF HIGH TIDES ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS
COAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 205 AM CDT THU APR 9 2026
WINDS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY LIGHT THROUGHOUT THIS TAF CYCLE, WHICH
IS THE ONLY GOOD NEWS. EVERYTHING ELSE HAS LOW CONFIDENCE IN REGARDS
TO TIMING. CURRENT THINKING IS THE WESTERN SITES WILL DEVELOP MVFR
CEILINGS SHORTLY AFTER 06Z WHILE THE EASTERN SITES REMAIN VFR UNTIL
TOMORROW MORNING AROUND 10-12Z, HOWEVER, CANNOT DISCOUNT PERIODS OF
MVFR LOW CEILINGS BEFORE THEN. PROB30'S FOR RAIN WERE ADDED FOR
TIMES WHEN CONVECTION COULD BE THE SPOTTIEST WITH PREDOMINATE TSRA
FOR RAIN CHANCES IN THE 50-70% RANGE. I EXPECT THERE WILL BE GAPS IN
THE RAINFALL ACTIVITY BUT RAIN WILL BE MORE ON THAN OFF. CONDITIONS
SHOULD SLOWLY IMPROVE TOWARDS THE END OF THIS TAF CYCLE.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 205 AM CDT THU APR 9 2026
ONSHORE GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF 3-4) BREEZE WILL BECOME MODERATE TO
FRESH (BF 4-5) THIS WEEKEND. LOW RAIN CHANCES OVER THE WATERS
INCREASES TO A MODERATE CHANCE THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY IN RESPONSE
TO THE PROXIMITY OF A SHORTWAVE MOVING ACROSS THE REGION.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 205 AM CDT THU APR 9 2026
A MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE COMBINED WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO
A MODERATE CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION ON THURSDAY/FRIDAY ACROSS THE
REGION AND TAPERING OFF THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ONSHORE WINDS ARE
PROGGED TO REMAIN LIGHT WITH BRIEF PERIODS OF 20 FT WINDS AROUND 15
MPH ON SATURDAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND LOW ERC PERCENTILES
WILL LIMIT ANY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD WITH NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 81 68 79 69 / 40 60 60 20
VICTORIA 82 64 80 66 / 50 40 70 20
LAREDO 82 67 82 69 / 70 60 60 30
ALICE 83 66 81 67 / 50 60 70 20
ROCKPORT 80 69 80 70 / 30 60 60 20
COTULLA 82 66 82 68 / 70 60 60 20
KINGSVILLE 83 66 80 68 / 50 60 70 20
NAVY CORPUS 77 70 77 71 / 40 60 60 20
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...BF/80
AVIATION...JCP/84
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