039
FXUS64 KCRP 092339
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
639 PM CDT THU APR 9 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 634 PM CDT THU APR 9 2026
- LOW TO MEDIUM RAINFALL CHANCES THROUGH THE WEEKEND
- TEMPERATURES SLOWLY INCREASE THROUGH NEXT WEEK
- MINOR COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE DURING HIGH TIDE
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 144 PM CDT THU APR 9 2026
A MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS,
INCREASING OUR RAIN CHANCES TO 35-65% THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A FEW
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED ALONG THE
TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER AND WE ARE SEEING THESE MOVE INTO THE RIO GRANDE
PLAINS/BRUSH COUNTRY. WITH AMPLE MOISTURE AND MODERATE INSTABILITY,
CONVECTION SHOULD CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA
TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE
HIGH (GENERALLY 1" OR LOWER), BUT A FEW LOCATIONS COULD SEE 1-2" OF
RAIN IN SOME OF THE STRONGER CONVECTION. WHILE NOT EXPECTED, GIVEN
THE ENVIRONMENT, A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE--
ESPECIALLY IF THERE ARE ANY BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON.
KEEP AN EYE ON YOUR WEATHER TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. OTHERWISE, RAIN
CHANCES DIMINISH LATE THIS WEEKEND AND TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE
THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK.
THE POTENTIAL FOR MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK DURING TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. ONCE
AGAIN, GUIDANCE IS NOT REALLY PICKING UP ON ANY REAL THREATS AS
TIDAL LEVELS CONTINUE TO RUN AROUND 1.6-1.7 FT MSL. WE HAVE OBSERVED
WATER NEARING THE DUNES DURING TIMES OF HIGH TIDE, LARGELY DUE TO
LONG PERIOD SWELL AND PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW. PLEASE USE CAUTION ON
THE BEACHES. PAY ATTENTION TO THE TIDES.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 634 PM CDT THU APR 9 2026
MAINLY SHOWERS WITH SOME LIGHTNING POSSIBLE WILL CONTINUE FOR THE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS ALL TERMINALS WITH MVFR VSBYS
AND IFR CIGS. RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOMORROW
AFTERNOON WITH LIFR CIGS POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT OUT OF THE
EAST/SOUTHEAST WITH SOME GUSTS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD TAPER OFF TOWARD THE EVENING.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 144 PM CDT THU APR 9 2026
ONSHORE GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF 3-4) BREEZE WILL BECOME MODERATE TO
FRESH (BF 4-5) THIS WEEKEND. LOW TO MEDIUM RAIN CHANCES CONTINUE
OVER THE WATERS THROUGH SATURDAY.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 144 PM CDT THU APR 9 2026
A MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE COMBINED WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO
A LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
ONSHORE WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT WITH BRIEF PERIODS OF 20 FT WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH ON SATURDAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND LOW ERC
PERCENTILES WILL LIMIT ANY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH
THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 69 81 70 82 / 60 60 30 30
VICTORIA 66 81 67 83 / 50 60 20 50
LAREDO 68 82 69 86 / 60 50 30 40
ALICE 67 82 68 84 / 60 70 30 40
ROCKPORT 70 79 71 80 / 50 60 30 40
COTULLA 67 82 68 85 / 60 50 30 60
KINGSVILLE 68 81 69 83 / 60 70 30 40
NAVY CORPUS 71 77 71 77 / 60 60 30 40
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...LS/77
AVIATION...BF/80
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