414
FXUS64 KCRP 101130
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
630 AM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 628 AM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
- LOW TO MEDIUM RAINFALL CHANCES THROUGH THE WEEKEND
- TEMPERATURES SLOWLY INCREASE THROUGH NEXT WEEK
- MINOR COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE DURING HIGH TIDE
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 209 AM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
A SLOW-MOVING MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER THE REGION WILL CONTINUE
TO PROMOTE UNSETTLED WEATHER ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS THROUGH MUCH OF THIS
WEEKEND AS MODERATE INSTABILITY INTERACTS WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE.
TODAY, A MODERATE CHANCE OF SHOWERS (45-65%) IS EXPECTED TO TAPER
OFF OVERNIGHT WITH AN ADDITIONAL ROUND OF ACTIVITY SATURDAY MAINLY
OVER NORTHERN AND WESTERN COUNTIES. DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN BY
MONDAY KICKING OFF A WARMING TREND THE REST OF NEXT WEEK.
CLOUDY SKIES AND PRECIPITATION WILL KEEP SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS
THROUGH SATURDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 70S AND 80S FOLLOWED BY 90S
RETURNING TO THE FORECAST EARLY IN THE WORK WEEK. OVERNIGHT LOWS IN
THE MID 60S TO AROUND 70 DEGREES WILL SLIGHTLY INCREASE TO THE LOW
TO MID 70S ACROSS THE REGION NEXT WEEK.
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO BE AN ISSUE DURING
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO BE
UNDERDONE IN THIS REGARD SUGGESTING WATER LEVELS AROUND 1.5 FT MSL
AND THE LATEST LEVELS ARE TRENDING 1.0 FT ABOVE PREDICTED. HAVE
OPTED TO HOLD OFF ON AN ADVISORY FOR NOW BUT WILL LET THE DAY SHIFT
MONITOR CONDITIONS AND ISSUE IT IF NECESSARY.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 628 AM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS MORNING AS RAIN
MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. TAFS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE
THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH VFR CONDITIONS RETURNING AROUND 18Z.
HOWEVER, THAT WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS MVFR CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED
TO REDEVELOP AROUND 07Z WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF IFR/LIFR BY
09-10Z.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 209 AM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
ONSHORE FLOW WILL REMAIN GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF 3-4) THROUGH MUCH OF
THE WEEKEND WITH PERIODS OF MODERATE TO FRESH (BF 4-5) SATURDAY INTO
SUNDAY. RAIN CHANCES OVER THE WATERS GENERALLY REMAIN MODERATE (40-
60%) INTO SATURDAY BEFORE DECREASING SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING TO A
LOW 20-30% CHANCE AND FURTHER DECREASING TO LESS THAN 15% BY SUNDAY
EVENING.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 209 AM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
MODERATE RAIN CHANCES IS LIKELY TO TAPER OFF THIS WEEKEND BUT
ONSHORE FLOW WILL KEEP MINIMUM RH VALUES ELEVATED LIMITING FIRE
WEATHER POTENTIAL. SOUTHEASTERLY 20 FT WINDS ARE PROGGED TO REMAIN
LIGHT THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH A WINDOW OF 15-18
MPH WINDS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 80 69 82 71 / 60 30 40 20
VICTORIA 83 66 83 68 / 50 10 60 20
LAREDO 83 70 86 72 / 50 30 40 30
ALICE 83 68 85 70 / 60 20 50 20
ROCKPORT 80 70 81 72 / 40 30 50 20
COTULLA 83 69 85 71 / 60 20 50 30
KINGSVILLE 81 69 83 70 / 60 20 40 20
NAVY CORPUS 78 72 78 73 / 60 30 50 20
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...BF/80
AVIATION...JCP/84
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