096
FXUS64 KCRP 102017
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
317 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 158 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
- LOW TO MEDIUM RAINFALL CHANCES THROUGH THE WEEKEND
- MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AND HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE
GULF-FACING BEACHES THROUGH THIS EVENING
- MARGINAL TO SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER SUNDAY
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 158 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
A PERSISTENT WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL ALLOW FOR A
FEW SHORTWAVES TO TRACK OVER THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THESE, IN CONJUNCTION WITH PLENTIFUL GULF MOISTURE (PWATS AROUND
1.7-1.9") WILL PROVIDE THE SETTING FOR ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN AROUND 30-60% AREAWIDE THIS AFTERNOON,
DECREASING TO A SLIGHT CHANCE OVERNIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY, AND THEN
INCREASING AGAIN TO A 30-50% CHANCE ON SUNDAY WITH ANOTHER
PASSING DISTURBANCE. ON SUNDAY, THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE AS
WELL WITH SBCAPE VALUES RISING TO AROUND 1500-2300 J/KG WITH A
WEAK CAP ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA. SPC HAS INCLUDED MOST
OF THE BRUSH COUNTRY AND RIO GRANDE PLAINS UNDER A SLIGHT RISK
(LEVEL 2 OUT OF 5) FOR SEVERE WEATHER ON SUNDAY WITH REST OF THE
CWA UNDER A MARGINAL RISK (LEVEL 1 OUT OF 5). STRONG WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.
THE REST OF THE FORECAST CYCLE WILL BE RELATIVELY QUIET WITH ONLY
SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES THROUGH MID NEXT WEEK.
A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF-FACING
BEACHES ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST. TIDES HAVE CONTINUED TO RUN
AROUND 1.0-1.2 FT ABOVE PREDICTED AS A RESULT OF 4-5 FT ENE SWELL
AT NEAR 10 SECONDS OFFSHORE. THOUGH THE WATER IS FORECAST TO
RECEDE LATER THIS EVENING, THE POTENTIAL FOR COASTAL FLOODING
PERSISTS THROUGH AT LEAST TOMORROW, ESPECIALLY AT HIGH TIDE TIME.
WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR BEACH CONDITIONS TONIGHT IN CASE THE
ADVISORY NEEDS TO BE EXTENDED. IN ADDITION, THERE IS NOW A HIGH
RISK OF RIP CURRENT THROUGH TOMORROW.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 158 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
A MIXTURE OF VFR TO MVFR CONDITIONS WILL GENERALLY PREVAIL THROUGH
THE TAF CYCLE ACROSS AREA TERMINALS. LOW TO MEDIUM RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES REMAIN IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THIS EVENING.
WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT OUT OF THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 158 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
ONSHORE FLOW WILL REMAIN GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF 3-4) THROUGH MUCH OF
THE WEEKEND WITH PERIODS OF MODERATE TO FRESH (BF 4-5) SATURDAY INTO
SUNDAY. RAIN CHANCES OVER THE WATERS GENERALLY BE LOW TO MODERATE
(20-40%) THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 158 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
LOW TO MEDIUM RAIN CHANCES WILL KEEP MINIMUM RH VALUES ELEVATED
LIMITING FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SOUTHEASTERLY
20 FT WINDS ARE PROGGED TO REMAIN LIGHT THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD WITH A WINDOW OF 15-18 MPH WINDS SATURDAY
AFTERNOON BUT MIN RH VALUES OF 50-70% ARE EXPECTED. ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 70 83 71 81 / 20 30 20 30
VICTORIA 66 84 69 81 / 30 40 20 40
LAREDO 70 87 72 89 / 20 20 30 30
ALICE 68 85 70 84 / 20 30 20 40
ROCKPORT 70 81 72 81 / 30 30 20 30
COTULLA 69 86 71 86 / 20 30 40 50
KINGSVILLE 68 84 70 84 / 20 30 20 30
NAVY CORPUS 72 79 72 79 / 30 30 20 40
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ345-
442-443-447.
HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR TXZ345-442-
443-447.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ANM/88
AVIATION...ANM/88
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