372
FXUS64 KCRP 130700
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
200 AM CDT MON APR 13 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 156 AM CDT MON APR 13 2026
- MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY THROUGH TOMORROW
- MINOR COASTAL FLOODING LIKELY TO PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK
- WARM, MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE WORK WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 156 AM CDT MON APR 13 2026
MID-LEVEL FLOW REMAINS MAINLY SOUTHWESTERLY, PARTICULARLY ACROSS
CENTRAL AND WESTERN STATES THROUGH MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
ACCOMPANIED BY SUBSIDENCE AND QUIETER WEATHER.
AS RAIN CHANCES TAPER OFF TODAY SOME LOCALIZED AREAS OVER THE
NORTHERN BRUSH COUNTRY MAY SEE CHANCES LINGER THROUGH MIDWEEK.
MEANWHILE, A TROUGH LIFTS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE PLAINS, SENDING A
COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION THIS UPCOMING WEEKEND. LIKELY BRINGING
COOLER TEMPERATURES AND INCREASED RAIN CHANCES ALONG WITH IT. WILL
HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE OUT FOR ANY MARINE HAZARDS AND FIRE WEATHER DUE
TO INCREASED WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT BUT WE HAVE PLENTY OF
TIME BEING THIS FAR OUT.
90S ARE LIKELY TO RETURN TO THE FORECAST TODAY FOLLOWED BY MID-90S
BY AROUND THURSDAY ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE REGION WITH LOW TO
MID 80S ELSEWHERE. HIGHS NEXT SUNDAY ARE CURRENTLY PROGGED TO BE IN
THE 70S BUT THERE'S A LOT OF TIME FOR THE FORECAST TO CHANGE BASED
ON HOW THINGS EVOLVE BETWEEN NOW AND THEN.
A MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK AND POTENTIAL MINOR COASTAL FLOODING TO
CONTINUE THIS WORKWEEK WITH A MODERATE TO FRESH ONSHORE FLOW, SWELL
PERIODS AROUND 6-8 SECONDS, 4-6 FOOT WAVE HEIGHTS AND ASTRONOMICAL
TIDES BEING A CONTRIBUTING FACTOR AS WE APPROACH A NEW MOON ON APRIL
17TH AND NOT SURPRISINGLY WATER LEVELS TREND UPWARD. WATER YESTERDAY
REACHED THE DUNES WITH HIGHER SWELL HEIGHTS AND PERIODS. AGAIN WILL
LET THE DAY SHIFT HANDLE ISSUING A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY (IF
NECESSARY).
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 156 AM CDT MON APR 13 2026
A MIX OF MVFR TO VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH ALL
SITES RETURNING TO VFR BY 14-16Z TOMORROW MORNING. BUT BEFORE WE
FULLY RECOVER TO VFR, ALI AND VCT COULD SEE BRIEF PERIODS OF IFR
CEILINGS EARLY THIS MORNING. GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN
TOMORROW WITH WINDS DECREASING SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 156 AM CDT MON APR 13 2026
A MODERATE TO FRESH (BF 4-5) ONSHORE FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
WEEK. FLOW IS EXPECTED TO BACK NORTHEASTERLY EARLY SUNDAY FOLLOWED
BY AN INCREASE TO A FRESH TO POSSIBLY STRONG FLOW IN RESPONSE TO A
COLD FRONT. LOW SHOWER CHANCES (<~15%) TAPER OFF TODAY THROUGH THE
END OF THE WORKWEEK BUT INCREASE SOMETIME THIS UPCOMING WEEKEND AS
THE COLD FRONT MOVES OFFSHORE.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 156 AM CDT MON APR 13 2026
LOW RAIN/THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ACROSS THE REGION CONTINUE TO TAPER
OFF THROUGH MONDAY MORNING REPLACED BY DRIER CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
END OF THE WORKWEEK. ALTHOUGH SOME ISOLATED AREAS ACROSS THE
NORTHERN BRUSH COUNTRY HANG ON TO MENTIONABLE CHANCES (~15-20%)
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW (10-20 MPH) WILL GENERALLY
KEEP MINIMUM RH VALUES ABOVE THRESHOLDS, OCCASIONALLY DIPPING INTO
THE 30-40% RANGE DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. COMBINED WITH
ERC VALUES IN THE 20-25TH PERCENTILE RANGE OCCASIONALLY UP TO AROUND
50TH PERCENTILE. BASED ON THE FORECASTED ABOVE NORMAL MOISTURE AND
LOW ERC VALUES, ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 83 71 82 71 / 10 0 0 0
VICTORIA 84 68 84 68 / 10 0 0 0
LAREDO 91 72 92 72 / 10 10 0 10
ALICE 86 69 87 70 / 10 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 82 72 82 73 / 10 0 0 0
COTULLA 91 71 90 70 / 10 10 10 10
KINGSVILLE 85 70 85 70 / 10 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 80 73 79 73 / 10 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...BF/80
AVIATION...JCP/84
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