452
FXUS64 KCRP 131832
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
132 PM CDT MON APR 13 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 121 PM CDT MON APR 13 2026
- MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
- MINOR COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK.
- SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE THIS WEEKEND WITH THE
ARRIVAL OF A COLD FRONT.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 121 PM CDT MON APR 13 2026
A FEW VERY WEAK SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTHWARD ACROSS S
TX THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN STARTING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THESE
WEAK SHOWERS WILL LIKELY ONLY PRODUCE TRACE AMOUNTS AND MOST
LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN DRY.
OTHERWISE, THE WORK WEEK WILL GENERALLY BE DRY WITH ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT. CHANCES ARE LOW TO
MEDIUM (20-45%). FORECASTED TEMPERATURES BEHIND THE FRONT ON
SUNDAY WILL BE A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S
AREA-WIDE. DUE TO MODEL DISCREPANCIES AND THIS WEEKEND BEING
SEVERAL DAYS OUT, CONFIDENCE IS LOW THAT THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH S TX. THE FORECAST WILL CONTINUE TO BE FINE TUNED AS THE
WEEKEND APPROACHES. SO, STAYED TUNED!
THERE IS A MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY DUE TO
SWELL PERIODS 6-8 SECONDS, AND SOUTHEAST WINDS 10-15 KNOTS. MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED BUT CAN NOT BE RULED OUT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THE PETSS INDICATES INCREASING TIDE LEVELS THE LATTER
PART OF THE WEEK, WHICH MAY LEAD TO WATER REACHING THE DUNES AT HIGH
TIDE STARTING THURSDAY. THE BETTER CHANCE OF COASTAL FLOODING IS
EXPECTED BEHIND THE WEEKEND COLD FRONT. THIS IS DUE TO FORECASTED
WINDS OUT OF THE NORTHEAST AT 20-25 KNOTS ALONG WITH AN
INCREASING SWELL PERIOD. THE SWELLS MAY ALSO LEAD TO AN INCREASING
RIP CURRENT RISK. THIS ALL HINGES ON FRONTAL PASSAGE.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 121 PM CDT MON APR 13 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON LOWERING TO MVFR THIS EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT DUE TO INCREASING LOW CLOUDS. VFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO
RESUME BY MID TO LATE TUESDAY MORNING. S TO SE WINDS GUSTING TO
AROUND 25 KNOTS (APPROACHING 30 KNOTS AT THE CRP TAF SITE) CAN BE
EXPECTED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING THIS EVENING. WIND
GUSTS INCREASE AGAIN TUESDAY, BUT IS EXPECTED TO BE 2-5 KNOTS LOWER
THAN TODAY.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 121 PM CDT MON APR 13 2026
A MODERATE TO FRESH (BF 4-5) ONSHORE FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
WEEK. A BRIEF STRONG (BF 6) BREEZE WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON
FROM SOUTH OF PORT ARANSAS TO BAFFIN BAY. A STRONG ONSHORE FLOW IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS ALL MARINE ZONES ON FRIDAY WITH ADVISORY
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. WINDS RELAX SATURDAY, THEN SHIFT TO THE
NORTHEAST EARLY SUNDAY FOLLOWED BY AN INCREASE TO A FRESH TO
POSSIBLY A STRONG FLOW IN RESPONSE TO A COLD FRONT. LOW RAIN CHANCES
(<15%) EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE WORKWEEK BUT INCREASE THIS
WEEKEND AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 121 PM CDT MON APR 13 2026
THE CHANCE FOR WETTING RAINS THROUGH THE WORK WEEK ARE VERY LOW
(<10%) ALONG WITH CONTINUED ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. MODERATE
ONSHORE FLOW (10-20 MPH) WILL GENERALLY KEEP MINIMUM RH VALUES ABOVE
30-40% RANGE DURING THE PERIOD. BASED ON THE FORECASTED ABOVE NORMAL
MOISTURE AND LOW ERC VALUES, ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED
AT THIS TIME. THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS INCREASES OVER THE WEEKEND
AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 71 83 71 84 / 10 10 0 0
VICTORIA 69 84 69 85 / 10 10 0 0
LAREDO 73 92 72 91 / 10 0 10 10
ALICE 70 87 70 88 / 10 10 0 10
ROCKPORT 72 82 73 83 / 10 10 0 0
COTULLA 71 90 71 89 / 10 0 10 20
KINGSVILLE 71 85 71 86 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 73 80 73 80 / 10 10 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...TE/81
AVIATION...TE/81
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page