812
FXUS64 KCRP 121104
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
604 AM CDT TUE MAY 12 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 542 AM CDT TUE MAY 12 2026
- SEASONAL TEMPERATURES AND DRIER CONDITIONS THIS WEEK.
- RAIN CHANCES INCREASE BY LATE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 129 AM CDT TUE MAY 12 2026
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EASTWARD TODAY, ALLOWING WINDS TO
BECOME LIGHTER AND GRADUALLY TRANSITION TO BECOME SOUTH-
SOUTHEASTERLY. THIS WILL INCREASE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE, BEGINNING A
GRADUAL WARMING TREND AND INCREASING HUMIDITY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
THE WEEK. ALTHOUGH MID-LEVEL RIDGING WILL DOMINATE THE LARGE-SCALE
PATTERN AND SUPPRESS PRECIPITATION, INCREASING GULF MOISTURE MAY
LEAD TO PERIODS OF GREATER CLOUD COVER, ESPECIALLY DURING THE
OVERNIGHT AND MORNING HOURS. AFTERNOON HIGHS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS ARE EXPECTED TO STEADILY CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 80S AND LOW TO
MID-90S INLAND, WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS EVENTUALLY REACHING THE UPPER
70S AS HUMIDITY INCREASES.
BY THE WEEKEND, THE AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN, AND
A MORE WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS ALOFT AS A TROUGH DIGS SOUTH
AND EASTWARD. THIS PATTERN MAY ALLOW WEAK DISTURBANCES TO APPROACH
FROM THE WEST, LEADING TO THE RETURN OF ISOLATED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES (20-30%) LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. GIVEN THE
EXTENDED FORECAST TIMEFRAME, CONFIDENCE REGARDING PRECIPITATION
POTENTIAL AND OVERALL COVERAGE REMAIN ON THE LOWER SIDE AT THIS
TIME. FORECAST DETAILS WILL CONTINUE RESOLVE AS WE GO THROUGH THE
WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 542 AM CDT TUE MAY 12 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE OF PATCHY FOG AROUND SUNRISE FOR VCT AND ALI, BUT WITH
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES CURRENTLY BELOW 95%, HAVE NOT PUT THIS
MENTION INTO THE TAFS. LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY TURN BACK TO THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH TODAY.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 129 AM CDT TUE MAY 12 2026
A GENTLE TO MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY BREEZE (BF 3-4) IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY BEFORE TURNING TO THE SOUTHEAST AND
RELAXING TO A LIGHT TO GENTLE BREEZE (BF 2-3) TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO MODERATE LEVELS ONCE AGAIN THURSDAY
NIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND. LITTLE IS EXPECTED IN THE WAY
OF PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 87 68 88 67 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 87 64 91 66 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 90 68 94 68 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 89 65 91 65 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 87 73 87 74 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 89 66 93 67 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 87 66 89 66 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 83 73 84 73 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...KRS/98
AVIATION...LS/77
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