089
FXUS64 KCRP 122345
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
645 PM CDT TUE MAY 12 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 632 PM CDT TUE MAY 12 2026
- SEASONAL TEMPERATURES AND DRIER CONDITIONS THIS WEEK.
- RAIN CHANCES INCREASE BY LATE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 118 PM CDT TUE MAY 12 2026
EXPECT CONTINUED DRIER AND WARMER CONDITIONS TO PERSIST OVER THE
THROUGH EARLY WEEKEND. A LOW LEVEL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO THE
WEST ALLOWING FOR MOISTURE TO RETURN TO THE REGION, THOUGH NO
PRECIP WILL BE EXPECTED DUE TO THE LACK OF UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT.
THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SOME RAIN WILL BE LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL BE THE LIKELY ARRIVAL OF OUR NEXT
DISTURBANCE AS A TROUGH DIGS AROUND THE FOUR CORNERS REGION
EXTENDING INTO WEST TEXAS/NORTHERN MEXICO. THIS WILL LEAD TO LOW
TO MEDIUM SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ONCE AGAIN. WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THIS POSSIBILITY AS THIS IS STILL A FEW DAYS OUT.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 632 PM CDT TUE MAY 12 2026
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT JUST OFFSHORE THE TEXAS COAST
TONIGHT, LEADING TO VERY LIGHT TO CALM SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS. THESE
LIGHT WINDS UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL PROMOTE FAVORABLE FOG
CONDITIONS OVER THE COASTAL PLAINS, MAINLY IMPACTING ALI/VCT
BETWEEN 09-14Z. THERE IS A MEDIUM TO HIGH (50-70%) CHANCE FOR
DENSE FOG TO OCCUR BETWEEN THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS AND ALI.
CONFIDENCE IS NOT AS HIGH ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COAST AND OVER THE
RIO GRANDE PLAINS, BUT INCLUDED AT LEAST AN MVFR VSBY MENTION OVER
ALL SITES. I DID ADD IN FEW LOWER CLOUDS IN THE TEMPOS, IN THE
LOWER CHANCE THAT AN IFR/LIFR CLOUD DECK FORMS INSTEAD OF FOG.
LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL STICK AROUND THROUGH THE END OF THE
FORECAST, WITH VFR PREVAILING BY 15Z ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH TEXAS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 118 PM CDT TUE MAY 12 2026
A GENTLE TO MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY BREEZE (BF 3-4) IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE TURNING TO THE SOUTHEAST AND
RELAXING TO A LIGHT TO GENTLE BREEZE (BF 2-3) TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO MODERATE LEVELS ONCE AGAIN THURSDAY
NIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND. LITTLE IS EXPECTED IN THE WAY
OF PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 67 87 67 88 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 64 91 65 90 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 69 94 68 96 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 65 91 64 92 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 73 87 73 86 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 67 93 66 96 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 66 88 65 89 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 73 83 73 84 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...NP/92
AVIATION...EMF/94
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page