617
FXUS64 KCRP 131101
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
601 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 546 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
- AREAS OF FOG EARLY THIS MORNING AND THURSDAY MORNING
- MODERATE RISK OF HEAT-RELATED IMPACTS THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK
- RAIN CHANCES (20-40%) RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 119 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
LIGHT TO CALM SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL A
PROMOTE FAVORABLE FOG ENVIRONMENT OVER THE INLAND COASTAL PLAINS
THIS MORNING. THERE IS A MEDIUM TO HIGH CHANCE (40-70%) FOR AREAS OF
DENSE FOG TO DEVELOP, MAINLY OVER THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS. WE CAN
EXPECT SIMILAR CONDITIONS EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AS WELL.
MID-LEVEL RIDGING WILL DOMINATE GOING INTO THIS WEEKEND, CONTINUING
NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS
ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS. HIGHS WILL CONSISTENTLY RANGE FROM THE MID 80S
ALONG THE COAST TO THE MID 90S OVER THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS THROUGH
THIS WEEKEND.
LOW TO MEDIUM RAIN CHANCES (20-40%) RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK AS PWATS
NEAR 2.0" (99TH PERCENTILE) IN CONJUNCTION WITH EMBEDDED MID-LEVEL
SHORTWAVES AND A COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTHWARD ACROSS TEXAS. PACIFIC
MOISTURE WILL USHER IN AS A DEEP TROUGH SAGS SOUTH OVER THE WESTERN
CONUS, MEANWHILE 925MB MEAN SPECIFIC HUMIDITY NEARS THE
CLIMATOLOGICAL MAX. THIS COMBINATION WILL RESULT IN NOT JUST
INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND RAIN CHANCES, BUT EXTREMELY WARM DEWPOINTS
AND MINIMUM TEMPERATURES. WE'RE LOOKING AT MULTIPLE SOUPY MORNINGS
FLIRTING WITH RECORD HIGH MINIMUM TEMPERATURES AROUND 80 DEGREES
FROM SUNDAY MORNING TO WEDNESDAY MORNING. DUE TO THE LACK OF HEAT
RECOVERY AT NIGHT AND MAX HEAT INDICES 100-110, THERE IS A MODERATE
RISK OF HEAT-RELATED IMPACTS DURING THE AFOREMENTIONED PERIOD.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 546 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
PATCHY FOG OVER THE COASTAL PLAINS AND VICTORIA CROSSROADS WILL
REDUCE VISIBILITY TO MVFR WITH PERIODS OF IFR/LIFR FOR ALI AND
VCT. OTHERWISE, LIGHT WINDS AND VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE FROM AROUND 13Z ON.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 119 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
LIGHT VARIABLE WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME LIGHT TO GENTLE (BF 2-
3) OUT OF THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.
SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW STRENGTHENS TO MODERATE TO FRESH (BF 4-5)
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. LOW TO MEDIUM (20-40%)
RAIN CHANCES RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 88 66 89 72 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 91 64 90 67 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 93 68 95 70 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 91 64 93 68 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 87 73 87 76 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 93 67 95 69 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 89 65 90 70 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 84 73 84 76 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...EMF/94
AVIATION...LS/77
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