955
FXUS64 KCRP 131845 CCA
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
145 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 125 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
- PATCH FOG THOUGH AT TIMES DENSE THURSDAY MORNING
- MODERATE RISK OF HEAT-RELATED IMPACTS THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK
- RAIN CHANCES (20-40%) RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 125 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
THE PATTERN IS REMAINING ON TRACK FROM THE PREVIOUS FEW INSTANCES.
EXPECT THE REGION TO BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A RIDGE THROUGH THE
BEGINNING OF THIS WEEKEND. IT WILL PROMOTE WARM CONDITIONS AROUND
THE REGION WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AT TIMES AS MOISTURE FILTERS
BACK IN THANKS TO ONSHORE FLOW.
WITH THE PRESENCE OF THE LOWER LEVEL LOW OVERHEAD, WINDS WILL BE
BECOMING VERY LIGHT SPECIFICALLY AROUND THE COASTAL BEND EXTENDING
TO THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS. THE PRESENCE OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IN
THE AREA WILL ALLOW FOR SOME PATCHY FOG THAT COULD POTENTIALLY BE
DENSE AT TIMES (SIMILAR TO THIS MORNING).
HEADING INTO THE LATTER PORTIONS OF THE WEEKEND, THE FORECAST WILL
BEGIN TO CHANGE A BIT. MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCES ARE PROGGED TO MOVE
INTO THE REGION EARLY IN THE WEEK AS A TROUGH DIGS AROUND THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION EXTENDING INTO WEST TEXAS/NORTHERN MEXICO. THIS IS
EXPECTED TO COMBINE WITH SURGING PWATS AROUND 2.0", WELL ABOVE
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR CLIMATOLOGICALLY SPEAKING. LOW TO
MEDIUM RAIN CHANCES WILL EXIST AS A RESULT OF THIS THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL ALSO CONTRIBUTE TO HEAT STRESS
CONDITIONS. WARMER MORNINGS WILL BE EXPECTED DUE TO INCREASE CLOUD
COVER NEXT WEEK GIVEN THE ABUNDANCE OF MOISTURE IN THE AREA. THIS
WILL NOT ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES TO RECOVER EFFECTIVELY OVERNIGHT
LEADING TO WARM OVERNIGHT LOWS AND WARMER HIGHS DURING THE DAY. WILL
BE SOMETHING WORTH WATCHING AS WE EMBARK CLOSER TO NEXT WEEK.
P-ETSS GUIDANCE IS PORTRAYING TIDE LEVELS POTENTIALLY 2.0 FT MSL
LATE THIS WEEKEND. THIS WOULD MOST CERTAINLY LEAD TO MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING, THEREFORE WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE TRENDS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 125 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE.
SOME PERIODS OF MVFR (POTENTIALLY IFR/LIFR AT TIMES THOUGH LOW
CONFIDENCE) VSBYS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EASTERN SITES
(CRP,ALI,VCT). TEMPOS WERE USED TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS POSSIBILITY.
WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY LIGHT THROUGH THE PERIOD.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 125 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
LIGHT TO GENTLE (BF 2- 3) FLOW WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTH TO
SOUTHEAST TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW STRENGTHENS
TO MODERATE TO FRESH (BF 4-5) THURSDAY NIGHT INTO THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK. LOW TO MEDIUM (20-40%) RAIN CHANCES RETURN EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 66 89 71 87 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 65 91 68 89 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 68 95 70 97 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 64 93 68 93 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 73 87 76 87 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 67 95 69 97 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 65 90 69 90 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 73 84 76 84 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...NP/92
AVIATION...NP/92
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