874
FXUS64 KCRP 092329
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
629 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 627 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
- MODERATE HEATRISK ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS THROUGH THE WEEK AND INTO THE
WEEKEND.
- MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK TONIGHT DROPPING TO A LOW RISK
WEDNESDAY.
- MODERATE TO HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
POSSIBLE LATE IN THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 120 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
MID LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS IS CURRENTLY DRAPED N-S ACROSS
EAST TX DOWN TO DEEP S TX AND IS KEEPING CONVECTION FROM DEVELOPING.
VERY ISOLATED WEAK SHOWERS HAVE MANAGED TO BRIEFLY DEVELOP AND AM
EXPECTING THIS TREND TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON AS THE SEA BREEZE MOVES INLAND. MODELS PROG A WEAK MID
LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH TO MOVE WEST ACROSS S TX ON WEDNESDAY. THIS
FEATURE COMBINED WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND THE SEA BREEZE WILL
HELP PRODUCE ISOLATED SHOWERS OR WEAK THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY. THERE
IS A 15-30% CHANCE OF THIS OCCURRING. CONDITIONS WILL BE SLIGHTLY
DRIER THURSDAY AS THE MID LEVEL RIDGE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.
FRIDAY THE SEA BREEZE LOOKS TO BE A LITTLE MORE ACTIVE, BUT RAIN
CHANCES LOOK BETTER OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS IS DUE TO DEEPENING
MOISTURE WITH PWATS INCREASING TO 2.2-2.3 INCHES, COMBINED WITH A
SLIGHTLY STRONGER MID LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH TRACKING WEST ACROSS
THE REGION. THE PROBABILITY OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASES
TO 20- 40% OVER THE WEEKEND.
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF HEAT RELATED IMPACTS THROUGH THE WEEK
AND WEEKEND DUE TO TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S COMBINING WITH HIGH
HUMIDITY, LEADING TO HEAT INDICES RANGING 100-110 DEGREES.
THE RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS MODERATE TONIGHT, BECOMING LOW
WEDNESDAY AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW THROUGH THURSDAY. SWELL
PERIODS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 8-9 SECONDS BY THE END OF THE
WORK WEEK, WHICH COINCIDES WITH ASTRONOMICALLY HIGHER TIDES AND
NEARING A NEW MOON. THIS MAY RESULT IN A HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK AS
WELL AS MINOR COASTAL FLOODING BY FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 627 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
EXPECT A PRETTY SEASONAL DIURNAL PATTERN THROUGH THIS FORECAST
PERIOD. SCT TO BKN LOW CLOUDS DEVELOP OVERNIGHT, MAINLY FOR
EASTERN SITES WITH MOST LIKELY MVFR AT ALI AND VCT. BREEZY
SOUTHEAST WINDS THIS EVENING WILL WEAKEN OVERNIGHT WITH MAINLY
LIGHT WINDS LATER IN THE NIGHT. CIGS IMPROVE DURING THE MORNING ON
WEDNESDAY.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 120 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
A MODERATE TO FRESH (BF 4-5) ONSHORE FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
PERIOD. SEAS 3-4 FEET THROUGH THURSDAY INCREASING TO 4-5 FEET BY THE
END OF THE WEEK. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THIS
WEEKEND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 79 91 79 91 / 10 10 0 0
VICTORIA 76 91 76 92 / 0 20 0 0
LAREDO 75 95 77 97 / 0 10 0 0
ALICE 76 92 77 92 / 0 10 10 10
ROCKPORT 82 91 82 91 / 0 10 0 0
COTULLA 75 95 77 96 / 0 20 0 0
KINGSVILLE 77 90 78 90 / 10 10 10 10
NAVY CORPUS 82 89 82 89 / 10 10 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...TE/81
AVIATION...PH/83
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