803  
FXUS64 KCRP 102317  
AFDCRP  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX  
617 PM CDT FRI JUL 10 2026  
   
..NEW AVIATION
 
 
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
UPDATED AT 611 PM CDT FRI JUL 10 2026  
 
- MEDIUM RAIN CHANCES TODAY INTO SATURDAY, WITH ISOLATED POCKETS  
OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND HIGH RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS.  
 
- MODERATE RISK OF HEAT-RELATED IMPACTS SATURDAY INTO EARLY NEXT  
WEEK, WITH PEAK HEAT INDICES 104-109 DEGREES OVER THE COASTAL  
PLAINS.  
 

 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ISSUED AT 253 PM CDT FRI JUL 10 2026  
 
RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN ELEVATED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY.  
AS WE HEAD INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS, ACTIVITY OVER LAND IS EXPECTED  
TO PICK UP DUE TO DAYTIME HEATING. RAIN CHANCES TONIGHT SHOULD BE  
RELATIVELY LOW BEFORE RAIN CHANCES INCREASE TO THE 30-40% RANGE  
AGAIN TOMORROW. RIDGING WILL BEGIN TO BUILD BACK INTO THE REGION  
EARLY NEXT WEEK, BUT WITH PWAT VALUES STILL EXPECTED TO BE AROUND  
2", LOW CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN IN THE  
FORECAST FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.  
 
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURE COMBINING WITH ABUNDANT LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE  
WILL PROMOTE HEAT INDEX VALUES BETWEEN 100-109 DEGREES THROUGH THE  
WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. PLEASE USE CAUTION IF YOU ARE  
WORKING OR PLAYING OUTSIDE OR SPENDING TIME OUTDOORS FOR  
INDEPENDENCE DAY. TAKE PLENTY OF BREAKS, DRINK WATER, AND DON'T  
FORGET SUNSCREEN.  
 
MORE HEAT SAFETY INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV/HEAT  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(00Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 611 PM CDT FRI JUL 10 2026  
 
GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT  
PERIOD, ALTHOUGH THERE IS A MEDIUM (40%) CHANCE FOR PERIODS OF  
MVFR CIGS AT KLRD, KCOT, AND POSSIBLY KVCT SATURDAY MORNING.  
SCATTERED STORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE A THREAT ON SATURDAY WITH THE  
HIGHEST CHANCES AT KVCT IN THE MID-LATE MORNING WITH THE THREAT  
EXPANDING WESTWARD TO THE OTHER COASTAL PLAINS TERMINALS THROUGH  
THE AFTERNOON. BREEZY SERLY WINDS EARLY THIS EVENING WITH TREND  
LIGHTER OVERNIGHT BEFORE THEN INCREASING TO SUSTAINED 10 TO 15KS  
WITH GUSTS TO 20 KTS DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY.  
 

 
   
MARINE
 
 
ISSUED AT 253 PM CDT FRI JUL 10 2026  
 
GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF 3-4) SOUTHEASTERLY-SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL  
PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH SEAS RUNNING 2 TO 4 FT. THERE WILL  
BE A MEDIUM (40-50 PERCENT) CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON  
THROUGH SATURDAY WITH PERIODS OF ERRATIC WINDS AND ELEVATED SEAS  
LIKELY IN THE VICINITY OF THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN CHANCES DECREASE  
INTO THE 20-40 PERCENT RANGE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WITH HIGHEST  
CHANCES OVER OUR NORTHERN WATERS.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
CORPUS CHRISTI 79 91 80 92 / 20 40 10 20  
VICTORIA 77 94 77 94 / 10 40 10 40  
LAREDO 78 97 77 98 / 10 50 40 10  
ALICE 76 93 77 94 / 0 40 10 30  
ROCKPORT 82 91 82 91 / 30 30 20 20  
COTULLA 76 95 76 97 / 10 40 40 10  
KINGSVILLE 77 91 78 92 / 10 40 10 30  
NAVY CORPUS 82 89 83 90 / 20 30 10 10  
 

 
   
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
TX...NONE.  
GM...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
DISCUSSION...JCP/84  
AVIATION...NC/91  
 
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