869
FXUS64 KCRP 161936
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
236 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 234 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2026
- MODERATE TO MAJOR HEAT STRESS CONDITIONS RETURN BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
- DRIER CONDITIONS THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 234 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2026
A MID-LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MOVE WEST OVER CENTRAL AND WEST
TEXAS TOWARD NEW MEXICO. WE CONTINUE TO MONITOR RAINFALL RATES
UPSTREAM DUE TO POSSIBLE RIVER FLOODING OF THE SAN ANTONIO, NUECES,
FRIO AND RIO GRANDE RIVERS. WHILE MOST OF THE RAIN HAS STOPPED WE
TURN OUR ATTENTION TO THE AFTER-MATH. THE HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS
CENTRAL TEXAS WILL RESULT IN MODERATE TO MAJOR RIVER FLOODING IN
SOUTH TEXAS. PLEASE TAKE PROPER PRE-CAUTIONS TO AVOID FLOODED AREAS
AND REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN!
AS THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW EXITS THE AREA, A MID-LEVEL RIDGE
IS EXPECTED TO BUILD OVER EAST TEXAS, RESULTING IN SOUTH TO
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ALOFT. THE WIND SHIFT WILL PROMOTE THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A DRIER AIRMASS OVER THE CWA, ESPECIALLY INTO NEXT
WEEK. FOR TODAY, TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN THE UPPER 80'S NEAR THE
COAST, AND MID 90'S OUT WEST. EXPECT GRADUAL WARMING THIS WEEKEND
INTO THE WORK WEEK AS HEAT INDICES CLIMB TO 100F-105F AREAWIDE.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 234 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING WITH A
CONSISTENT SOUTHEASTERLY BREEZE WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS. VFR
CONDITONS WILL PREVIAL OVERNIGHT AND INTO TOMORROW FOR VCT/CRP.
EXPECTING MVFR CIGS FOR ALI/COT LATE OVERNIGHT INTO THE MORNING
HOURS, WHILE LRD WILL SHORTLY FALL INTO MVFR AFTER SUNRISE TO MID-
MORNING.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 234 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2026
A MODERATE TO FRESH (BF 4-5) ONSHORE FLOW THROUGH THE PERIOD
BECOMING MORE SOUTHERLY EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH SOME PERIODS OF A LIGHT
TO GENTLE BREEZE. THERE'S A LOW CHANCE AROUND 20-25% OR LESS FOR SHOWERS/STORMS
THE REST OF TODAY FOLLOWED BY DRIER CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 80 92 80 92 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 77 91 77 92 / 20 0 0 0
LAREDO 78 99 79 100 / 10 0 0 0
ALICE 77 95 77 96 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 82 90 82 90 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 76 95 77 97 / 20 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 78 93 78 94 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 82 90 83 89 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...BF/80
AVIATION...BF/80
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