318
FXUS64 KCRP 050632
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
132 AM CDT WED AUG 5 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 123 AM CDT WED AUG 5 2026
- AFTERNOON SEABREEZE DRIVEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE
EXPECTED EACH DAY, WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER CHANCES IN THE EASTERN
CWA LATER THIS WEEKEND.
- MODERATE-MAJOR RISK OF HEAT-RELATED IMPACTS THROUGH THE WEEK,
WITH PEAK HEAT INDICES 106 TO 112.
- LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE WESTERN BRUSH
COUNTRY THROUGH THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 123 AM CDT WED AUG 5 2026
A PERSISTENT H5 RIDGE CONTINUES TO LINGER OVER THE FOUR CORNERS
REGION. THIS RIDGE HAS BEEN CONTRACTING OVER THE PAST 48 HOURS,
ALLOWING WEAK MID-LEVEL ENERGY TO ASSIST WITH ISOLATED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE SEABREEZE THIS AFTERNOON. AS THE
WEEK PROGRESSES, THE AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND
HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND AND AN EASTERLY WAVE LOOKS TO ROUND THE
SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE BERMUDA HIGH INTO OUR EASTERN COUNTIES ON
SUNDAY. POPS WILL BE KEPT BELOW 15% ACROSS THE CWA INTO SATURDAY TO
ACCOUNT FOR SEABREEZE CONVECTION EACH AFTERNOON. CAN'T RULE OUT A 20-
25% CHANCE AROUND THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS
MOISTURE FROM THE EASTERLY WAVE WORKS INLAND.
SEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS STRETCH ON THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD,
WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES LARGELY IN THE TRIPLE DIGITS WEST OF US-281
AND AND 90S ELSEWHERE. EXPECT HEAT INDICES TO CONSISTENTLY RANGE
BETWEEN 100 TO 110 DEGREES AREAWIDE, BUT REMAINING AT OR ABOVE 110
DEGREES FOR MULTIPLE HOURS WOULD BE ISOLATED. EVEN THOUGH WE MAY
REMAIN BELOW HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA, PLEASE REMEMBER TO DRINK
PLENTY OF WATER AND TAKE FREQUENT BREAKS IN SHADE OR A/C AS WE ARE
ENTERING THE HOTTEST TIME OF THE YEAR CLIMATOLOGICALLY IN SOUTH
TEXAS.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 123 AM CDT WED AUG 5 2026
MORE CLOUD COVER EXPECTED OVERNIGHT LEADING PERIODS OF MVFR CIGS
ACROSS S TX. LIGHT PATCHY FOR WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING, MAINLY ALI TO VCT. VFR CONDITIONS RETURN MID
MORNING WEDNESDAY AND WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
WITH A PERIOD OF MVFR CONDITIONS AFTER 06Z. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS
WILL STRENGTHEN OUT OF THE S-SE TO AROUND 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS 20-25.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 123 AM CDT WED AUG 5 2026
A GENTLE TO MODERATE ONSHORE (LARGELY FROM THE S-SE) FLOW CAN BE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD, OCCASIONALLY FRESH WINDS CAN
BE OBSERVED ALONG THE NEARSHORE BAYS IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS WILL
GENERALLY RANGE FROM 2-3 FEET THROUGH THE PERIOD. DAILY RAIN CHANCES
WILL BE UNDER 20% THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 123 AM CDT WED AUG 5 2026
MIN RHS WILL GENERALLY DROP INTO THE 25-35% RANGE EACH AFTERNOON
THROUGH THE WEEK OVER THE WESTERN BRUSH COUNTRY AND RIO GRANDE
PLAINS. THESE LOW RHS COMBINED WITH ERCS IN THE 55-75TH PERCENTILE
RANGE WILL SUPPORT LOCALIZED ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER
THIS REGION EACH DAY. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OUT OF THE E-SE
IN THE 12 TO 18 KT RANGE DURING THE AFTERNOONS. DAILY RAIN CHANCES
WILL GENERALLY BE 10% OR LESS THROUGH THE WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 94 79 94 78 / 10 0 0 0
VICTORIA 97 76 97 76 / 10 0 10 0
LAREDO 104 79 104 78 / 10 0 0 0
ALICE 99 76 99 75 / 10 0 10 0
ROCKPORT 91 81 92 80 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 102 77 103 76 / 10 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 96 77 97 77 / 10 0 10 0
NAVY CORPUS 92 82 92 81 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...PH/83
AVIATION...TE/81
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page