634
FXUS64 KCRP 061113
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
613 AM CDT THU AUG 6 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 610 AM CDT THU AUG 6 2026
- MODERATE TO MAJOR RISK OF HEAT-RELATED IMPACTS THROUGH THE WEEK,
WITH PEAK HEAT INDICES 105 TO 110, AND HIGH TO EXTREME WBGT
VALUES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 131 AM CDT THU AUG 6 2026
MID-LEVEL RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE MAIN DRIVER OF OUR
FORECAST FOR THE UPCOMING PERIOD. WHILE A FOUR-CORNERS RIDGE REMAINS
GENERALLY STATIONARY, THE BERMUDA HIGH WILL GRADUALLY STRETCH
EASTWARD ACROSS FLORIDA. A WEAK WAVE LOOKS TO RIDE BELOW THE
SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE BERMUDA HIGH TOWARD THE WEEKEND AND MAKES ITS
WAY TOWARD THE TEXAS COAST. MOISTURE APPEARS LIMITED - SO NO
SUBSTANTIAL RAIN CHANCES EXPECTED. WILL MAINTAIN SOME 10-20% RAIN
CHANCES WITH THE SEABREEZE DAILY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. FOR
THE WEEKEND COULD SEE SLIGHTLY HIGHER (20-25%) POPS AROUND THE
VICTORIA CROSSROADS.
TEMPERATURES REMAIN NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH
HIGHS BETWEEN 100 AND 105 WEST AND IN THE MID AND UPPER 90S EAST.
HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL TOP OUT PRIMARILY BETWEEN 105 AND 110. LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 70S. RH VALUES DO FALL TO NEAR
LOW LEVELS WEST, HOWEVER FUEL MOISTURE ARE NORMAL AND SHOULD LIMIT
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 610 AM CDT THU AUG 6 2026
ASIDE FROM A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR CIG/VIS THIS MORNING, ALL
TERMINALS RETURN TO VFR LATER THIS MORNING AND REMAINING SO
THROUGH MOST OF THE TAF PERIOD, WITH KALI GIVEN A TEMPO FOR A
BRIEF MVFR VIS AFTER 08Z. WINDS WILL BE SE'LY AT 15-20 KTS FOR
ALL TERMINALS AFTER 18Z AND LIGHTER WINDS OVERNIGHT.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 131 AM CDT THU AUG 6 2026
A GENTLE TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD, OCCASIONALLY FRESH WINDS CAN BE OBSERVED ALONG THE
NEARSHORE WATERS AND BAYS IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS WILL GENERALLY
RANGE FROM 2-3 FEET THROUGH THE PERIOD. DAILY RAIN CHANCES WILL BE
UNDER 20% THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 131 AM CDT THU AUG 6 2026
MIN RHS WILL GENERALLY DROP INTO THE 25-35% RANGE EACH AFTERNOON
THROUGH THE WEEKEND IN THE WESTERN BRUSH COUNTRY AND RIO GRANDE
PLAINS. THESE LOW RHS COMBINED WITH ERCS IN THE 55-75TH PERCENTILE
RANGE WILL SUPPORT LOCALIZED ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER
THIS REGION EACH DAY, HOWEVER FUEL MOISTURE ARE GENERALLY NEAR
NORMAL, THUS ANY ELEVATED CONDITIONS SHOULD BE LIMITED. WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY INCREASE OUT OF THE E-SE IN THE 12 TO 18 KT RANGE DURING
THE AFTERNOONS. DAILY RAIN CHANCES WILL GENERALLY BE 10% OR LESS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 96 78 95 77 / 10 0 10 0
VICTORIA 96 76 95 75 / 20 0 20 0
LAREDO 103 77 102 77 / 10 0 0 0
ALICE 98 75 97 74 / 10 0 10 0
ROCKPORT 91 80 91 80 / 10 0 10 0
COTULLA 102 76 101 75 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 96 76 96 75 / 10 0 10 0
NAVY CORPUS 92 81 88 81 / 10 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...PH/83
AVIATION...AE/82
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