415
FXUS64 KCRP 080706
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
206 AM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 204 AM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
- MODERATE TO MAJOR RISK OF HEAT-RELATED IMPACTS THROUGH THE WEEK, WITH
PEAK HEAT INDICES 105 TO 110, AND HIGH TO EXTREME WBGT VALUES.
- A LOW-MEDIUM CHANCE (20-50%) OF RAIN THIS WEEKEND WITH HIGHEST TOTALS
ALONG THE COAST.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 204 AM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
MID-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE WEATHER PATTERN
OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD, WITH WARM AND MOSTLY RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS
EXPECTED. SEABREEZE CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOONS,
WITH THE BEST CHANCES SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AS DEEP MOISTURE (PWAT
VALUES ~2.1" ALONG THE COAST) INTERACTS WITH AN AREA OF VORTICITY
RIDING AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN HOT, WITH HIGHS IN THE 90S ALONG THE COAST
TO AROUND 105 OVER THE BRUSH COUNTRY. WITH THE INCREASED MOISTURE,
THOUGH SPOTTY IN COVERAGE, MORE CLOUD COVER IS EXPECTED THIS
WEEKEND, KEEPING THE HEAT INDEX GENERALLY BELOW 110. HOWEVER,
ISOLATED LOCATIONS COULD SEE HEAT INDEX VALUES UP TO 112 DUE TO LACK
OF CLOUD COVERAGE. BY EARLY NEXT WEEK, EXPECT HEAT ADVISORY
CONDITIONS TO RETURN. ADDITIONALLY, AN EXTREME (4/4) HEAT RISK IS IN
PLAY FOR THE BRUSH COUNTRY STARTING MIDWEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 204 AM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR VIS/CIGS EXIST BETWEEN 08Z-13Z AT KALI/KVCT
THEN BECOMING MOSTLY VFR FOR ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE END OF THE
TAF CYCLE. KVCT WAS GIVEN PROB30 BETWEEN 19Z-23Z FOR AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SEABREEZE.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 204 AM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
LIGHT TO MODERATE ONSHORE BREEZES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO A MORE MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZE FROM TUESDAY.
THERE IS A LOW TO MEDIUM (20-50%) CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THIS WEEKEND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 204 AM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
MIN RHS WILL BE IN THE 25-35% RANGE EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH THE
WEEKEND IN THE WESTERN BRUSH COUNTRY AND RIO GRANDE PLAINS. THESE
LOW RHS COMBINED WITH ERCS IN THE 70-89TH PERCENTILE RANGE WILL LEAD
TO ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THIS REGION EACH DAY. WINDS
WILL GENERALLY BE AROUND 15 MPH, WITH WIND GUSTS IN THE 20-25 MPH
RANGE. A SEA BREEZE SHOWER CANNOT BE RULED OUT THIS WEEKEND THOUGH
WETTING RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN LOW.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 93 78 93 78 / 10 0 20 0
VICTORIA 97 75 95 75 / 20 10 30 0
LAREDO 102 77 102 78 / 10 10 10 0
ALICE 98 75 97 75 / 10 10 20 0
ROCKPORT 91 80 91 81 / 10 10 30 10
COTULLA 102 76 102 76 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 96 76 95 76 / 10 0 20 0
NAVY CORPUS 89 81 89 81 / 10 10 20 10
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...AE/DC
AVIATION...AE/82
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