699
FXUS64 KCRP 082319
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
619 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 616 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
- MODERATE TO MAJOR RISK OF HEAT-RELATED IMPACTS THROUGH THE WEEK,
WITH PEAK HEAT INDICES 105 TO 110, AND HIGH TO EXTREME WBGT VALUES.
- A LOW-MEDIUM CHANCE (20-40%) OF RAIN CONTINUES, MAINLY ALONG THE
COAST SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 204 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
A FEW AREAS OF VORTICITY WILL APPROACH SOUTH TEXAS TODAY THROUGH
MONDAY AS THEY RIDE AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF MID-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE.
THIS, COMBINED WITH PWAT VALUES 1.9-2.1", WILL ALLOW FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. FOR
TODAY, HAVE A LOW MENTION OF POPS (~15%), MAINLY ALONG THE AFTERNOON
SEABREEZE. CHANCES INCREASE SUNDAY AND MONDAY AFTERNOONS TO LOW TO
MODERATE (20-40%) AS MOISTURE INCREASES AND THE AREA OF VORTICITY
MOVES CLOSER TO THE AREA. THESE CHANCES WILL MAINLY REMAIN OVER THE
COASTAL PLAINS, WITH MOST OF THE AREA REMAINING DRY. BY TUESDAY,
HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO SETTLE IN MORE FIRMLY OVER THE AREA,
EFFECTIVELY ENDING OUR CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE
UPCOMING WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE HOT. HEAT INDEX VALUES TODAY AND
SUNDAY WILL GENERALLY BE 105-109; WHILE A FEW LOCATIONS COULD REACH
110-112, WILL NOT ISSUE A HEAT ADVISORY FOR THIS TODAY SINCE THE
CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD. HEAT INDEX VALUES
INCREASE MONDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEK, WITH HEAT ADVISORIES LIKELY EACH
DAY. THE WBGT RISKS WILL BE HIGH TO EXTREME ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. PLEASE REMEMBER TO TAKE THE NECESSARY
PRECAUTIONS IF YOU ARE WORKING, PLAYING, OR PRACTICING OUTSIDE:
LIMIT EXPOSURE TO 1-2 HOURS, WITH AT LEAST 4 BREAKS/HOUR (~20
MINUTES TOTAL REST), LIMIT YOUR ACTIVITY LEVELS, DRINK PLENTY OF
WATER, AND WEAR LIGHT, LOOSE CLOTHING.
LOOK BEFORE YOU LOCK!
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 616 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
A FEW SHOWERS ARE NOTED AROUND THE AREA THIS EVENING, ONLY REALLY
IMPACTING LRD SITE AT THIS TIME. COVERAGE IS TOO SMALL TO INCLUDE
IN TAF AT ANY OTHER SITE, BUT CAN'T RULE OUT AN ISOLATED SHOWER
FOR COT IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. EXPECT A SIMILAR SCENARIO
TOMORROW WITH ISOLATED SEA BREEZE ACTIVITY. HAVE NOT INCLUDED IN
TAFS EXCEPT VCT AT THIS TIME, BUT ALL SITES WOULD HAVE A LOW
POTENTIAL FOR BRIEF SHOWERS. OTHERWISE EXPECT MAINLY VFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD. COULD SEE A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR
MAINLY FOR ALI AND VCT TOWARD MORNING.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 204 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
LIGHT TO MODERATE ONSHORE BREEZES WILL INCREASE TO A MORE MODERATE
BREEZE, WITH PERIODS OF FRESH BREEZES, TUESDAY THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK. A LOW TO MEDIUM (20-50%) CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 77 95 78 97 / 10 20 10 10
VICTORIA 75 95 76 95 / 10 30 10 20
LAREDO 77 102 78 103 / 10 10 0 0
ALICE 74 98 75 99 / 0 20 10 10
ROCKPORT 80 92 80 92 / 10 30 10 20
COTULLA 76 101 77 102 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 75 96 76 97 / 0 30 10 10
NAVY CORPUS 80 90 81 89 / 10 20 10 10
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...LS/77
AVIATION...PH/83
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