497
FXUS64 KCRP 091105
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
605 AM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 601 AM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
- MODERATE TO MAJOR RISK OF HEAT-RELATED IMPACTS NEXT WEEK, WITH
PEAK HEAT INDICES 110 TO 115.
- A LOW CHANCE (20-30%) OF SHOWERS AND STORMS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 124 AM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WE REMAIN
IN A WEAKNESS BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTHWEST AND HIGH
PRESSURE TO THE EAST. WITH THIS WE WILL KEEP A LOW CHANCE OF RAIN AS
BITS OF ENERGY AND SOME ELEVATED MOISTURE WORK TOWARD THE TEXAS
COAST. MAINLY WE'RE LOOKING AT A FEW SEA BREEZE SHOWERS AND STORMS,
BUT SOME MORNING CONVECTION WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST
WITHIN SOME MARGINAL INSTABILITY. BEYOND MONDAY THE RIDGE TO THE
NORTHWEST BEGINS TO COLLAPSE AND THE RIDGE EAST SHIFTS MOVE OVER THE
REGION LIMITING RAIN CHANCES FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.
TEMPERATURES REMAIN GENERALLY AROUND SEASONAL AVERAGES, BUT WILL
RANGE FROM A DEGREE OR TWO BELOW NORMAL SUNDAY TO A FEW DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL BY LATE IN THE WORK WEEK. HEAT INDEX VALUES INCREASE
FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD AND HEAT ADVISORIES MAY BECOME
NECESSARY BY MID-WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 601 AM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
SHOWERS FROM THE WESTERN GULF ARE MOVING ONSHORE. WHILE THESE
SHOWERS WILL WEAKEN AS THEY MOVE ONSHORE, THE STRONGEST
SHOWERS/STORMS MAY BRIEFLY REDUCE VIS TO MVFR CONDITIONS, BUT
MOSTLY REMAIN ISOLATED IN NATURE. THIS AFTERNOON, THIS SHOWER
ACTIVITY AND SEABREEZE MOVES INLAND. CONFIDENCE IS LOW WITH
RESPECT TO HOW FAR INLAND THESE WILL MOVE, BUT WE WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE TREND FOR KLRD FOR THE UPCOMING TAF CYCLE.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 124 AM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
LIGHT TO MODERATE ONSHORE BREEZES SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL INCREASE TO
A MORE MODERATE BREEZE, WITH PERIODS OF FRESH BREEZES, TUESDAY
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. A LOW TO MEDIUM (20-40%) CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH
MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS THEREAFTER.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 124 AM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
MIN RHS WILL BE IN THE 25-35% RANGE EACH AFTERNOON INTO NEXT WEEK IN
THE WESTERN BRUSH COUNTRY AND RIO GRANDE PLAINS. THESE LOW RHS
COMBINED WITH ERCS IN THE 70-89TH PERCENTILE RANGE WILL LEAD TO
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THIS REGION EACH DAY. WINDS
WILL GENERALLY BE AROUND 15 MPH, WITH WIND GUSTS IN THE 20-25 MPH
RANGE. A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH
MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS THE REST OF THE WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 96 78 93 79 / 20 10 20 0
VICTORIA 95 76 95 77 / 30 10 30 0
LAREDO 101 78 103 78 / 10 10 10 0
ALICE 98 75 98 75 / 30 0 20 0
ROCKPORT 91 81 91 82 / 30 10 20 0
COTULLA 101 77 102 77 / 10 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 96 77 96 77 / 20 0 20 0
NAVY CORPUS 90 81 90 82 / 20 10 20 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...PH/83
AVIATION...AE/82
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page