565
FXUS64 KCRP 100628
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
128 AM CDT MON AUG 10 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 126 AM CDT MON AUG 10 2026
- MODERATE TO MAJOR RISK OF HEAT-RELATED IMPACTS NEXT WEEK, WITH PEAK
HEAT INDICES 110 TO 115.
- A LOW CHANCE (20-40%) OF SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON,
MAINLY IN THE COASTAL PLAINS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 126 AM CDT MON AUG 10 2026
NOT MUCH CHANGE IN THE FORECAST THIS PERIOD. WE ARE CURRENTLY STILL
CAUGHT BETWEEN TWO RIDGES WITH MOISTURE AND MID-LEVEL ENERGY
BRINGING SOME CONVECTION TOWARD THE COAST DURING THE DAYTIME. TODAY
LOOKS A LITTLE LESS CONDUCIVE FOR A CONTINUED ACTIVE SEA-BREEZE, BUT
MODELS ARE SUGGESTING SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS ALONG THE COAST IN
THE MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON, ESPECIALLY FOR THE NORTHERN
COASTAL BEND HAS ENERGY ROTATES NORTHWARD AROUND THE EASTERN RIDGE.
SEASONAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED WITH A VERY SLIGHT UPTICK TOWARD
THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK. HIGHS WILL BE ABOVE 100 DAILY OVER THE
RIO GRANDE PLAINS AND IN THE 90S EAST. HEAT INDEX VALUES INCREASE
FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD AND HEAT ADVISORIES MAY BECOME
NECESSARY BY MID-WEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 126 AM CDT MON AUG 10 2026
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ONSHORE FROM THE
WESTERN GULF BETWEEN 16Z-22Z. VCSH WAS ADDED TO KCRP/KVCT, BUT
PROB30 GROUP WAS ADDED FOR KVCT FOR REDUCTION TO MVFR VIS FROM A
THUNDERSTORM. THE LOW-LEVEL JET THEN KICKS IN AFTER 00Z, KEEPING
WINDS ABOVE 10-15 KTS SE'LY WINDS ACROSS MOST TERMINALS THROUGH THE
END OF THE TAF CYCLE.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 126 AM CDT MON AUG 10 2026
LIGHT TO MODERATE ONSHORE BREEZES MONDAY WILL INCREASE TO A MORE
MODERATE BREEZE, WITH PERIODS OF FRESH BREEZES, TUESDAY THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK. A LOW TO MEDIUM (20-50%) CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE MONDAY WITH MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS
THEREAFTER.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 126 AM CDT MON AUG 10 2026
MIN RHS WILL BE IN THE 25-35% RANGE EACH AFTERNOON INTO NEXT WEEK IN
THE WESTERN BRUSH COUNTRY AND RIO GRANDE PLAINS. THESE LOW RHS
COMBINED WITH ERCS IN THE 70-89TH PERCENTILE RANGE WILL LEAD TO
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THIS REGION EACH DAY. WINDS
WILL GENERALLY BE AROUND 15 MPH, WITH WIND GUSTS IN THE 20-25 MPH
RANGE. A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH
MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS THE REST OF THE WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 96 79 95 79 / 20 0 0 0
VICTORIA 93 77 96 77 / 30 0 10 0
LAREDO 103 78 104 78 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 99 75 99 75 / 10 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 91 82 92 82 / 20 0 0 0
COTULLA 103 77 105 77 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 97 77 97 77 / 10 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 90 82 90 82 / 20 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...PH/83
AVIATION...AE/82
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