317
FXUS64 KCRP 101826
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
126 PM CDT MON AUG 10 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 124 PM CDT MON AUG 10 2026
- MODERATE TO MAJOR RISK OF HEAT-RELATED IMPACTS NEXT WEEK, WITH PEAK
HEAT INDICES 110 TO 115.
- NEAR 0% POPS ARE EXPECTED MID-WEEK, WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER CHANCES
ON FRIDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 124 PM CDT MON AUG 10 2026
RADAR IS MORE ACTIVE THIS AFTERNOON WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING OVER THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS. THIS ACTIVITY
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INLAND AND DISSIPATE AS DAYTIME HEATING
DIMINISHES THIS EVENING. THE UPPER-LEVEL PICTURE WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT
THIS WEEK AS THE FOUR CORNERS RIDGE MIGRATES EAST, SETTLING OVER SE
CONUS BY FRIDAY. SUBSIDENCE ALOFT WILL STIFLE SEABREEZE CONVECTION
THROUGH THE WEEK, BUT SOME MID-LEVEL ENERGY MAY ROUND THE RIDGE ON
FRIDAY AND INCREASE CHANCES SLIGHTLY.
THE SONG REMAINS THE SAME REGARDING DAILY TEMPERATURES, WITH LOW TO
MID 90S NEAR THE COAST, AND TRIPLE DIGITS WEST OF HIGHWAY 281.
INCREASING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL RAISE DEW POINTS NEAR 80 DEGREES
ALONG THE COASTAL BEND, BRINGING HEAT INDICES UP TO 110-115
AREAWIDE. THIS CORRESPONDS TO MODERATE TO MAJOR HEATRISK (LEVEL 2-3)
ACROSS THE CWA THROUGH FRIDAY. A HEAT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED ON
TUESDAY, AND AN ISSUANCE IS LIKELY ON WEDNESDAY. IF WORKING OUTSIDE
FOR EXTENDED PERIODS, REMEMBER TO DRINK PLENTY OF WATER AND TAKE
FREQUENT BREAKS IN SHADE OR A/C.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 124 PM CDT MON AUG 10 2026
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE MOVED ONSHORE IN THE
VICINITY OF KCRP/KVCT. HELD VCSH FOR KCRP, AND KEPT THE PROB30 GROUP
FOR KVCT THROUGH 22Z FOR MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL THEN PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD, WITH GUSTY WINDS UP TO 25 KNOTS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH
OVERNIGHT. CONSIDERED A TEMPO GROUP AT KALI FOR MVFR CIGS (30-40%),
BUT I AM NOT CONFIDENT THE CEILING WILL EXIST QUITE YET.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 124 PM CDT MON AUG 10 2026
LIGHT TO MODERATE ONSHORE BREEZES WILL INCREASE TO A MORE MODERATE
BREEZE, WITH PERIODS OF FRESH BREEZES ON TUESDAY THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK. WAVES GENERALLY 2 TO 3 FEET WITH A SHORT INTERVAL OF 4 TO
5 FEET LATE WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY. POPS WILL REMAIN VERY LOW
(0-5%) THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 79 94 79 94 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 77 96 77 97 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 78 104 78 105 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 75 99 75 100 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 81 91 81 91 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 77 104 77 106 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 77 96 77 98 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 82 90 82 90 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...LS/77/NY
AVIATION...LS/77/NY
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