120
FXUS64 KCRP 110624
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
124 AM CDT TUE AUG 11 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 123 AM CDT TUE AUG 11 2026
- MODERATE TO MAJOR RISK OF HEAT-RELATED IMPACTS NEXT WEEK, WITH PEAK
HEAT INDICES 110 TO 115, ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
- LITTLE TO NO RAIN CHANCE THROUGH THURSDAY, LIMITED 20% FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 123 AM CDT TUE AUG 11 2026
DECREASING MOISTURE AND BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP RAIN
CHANCES TO A MINIMAL AT LEAST THROUGH THURSDAY. SOME WEAKNESSES WILL
TRAVEL AROUND THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE RIDGE, BUT THESE WILL REMAIN
MAINLY SOUTH OF THE AREA, AND WITH PWAT VALUES NOT MUCH ABOVE NORMAL
VALUES, THINK THE BEST WE CAN SEE IS AN ISOLATED SEA BREEZE SHOWER,
BUT MESO MODELS NOT EVEN SUGGESTING THAT FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. BY
FRIDAY THE RIDGE DOES SHIFT A BIT NORTHWARD ALLOWING DISTURBANCES TO
GET A LITTLE CLOSER. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE A BIT FRIDAY, BUT NOT
SUBSTANTIALLY AND WILL MAINTAIN ONLY 20% POPS.
SEASONAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED WITH A VERY SLIGHT UPTICK TOWARD
THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK. HIGHS WILL BE ABOVE 100 DAILY OVER THE
RIO GRANDE PLAINS AND IN THE 90S EAST. HEAT INDEX VALUES ON TUESDAY
MAY BRIEFLY TOP 110 FOR A FEW LOCATIONS, BUT THIS SHOULD BE LIMITED.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY HAVE A BETTER CHANCE TO HAVE HEAT ADVISORY
LEVEL CONDITIONS.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 123 AM CDT TUE AUG 11 2026
ACROSS THE WESTERN BRUSH COUNTRY, SOUTHEAST WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL BE
AT 10-15 KTS, WITH ALL TERMINALS CLIMBING TO 15-20 KTS BY 21Z. ASIDE
FROM BRIEF MVFR CIG/VIS BETWEEN 10-13Z, EXPECT MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 123 AM CDT TUE AUG 11 2026
MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW PERSISTS THROUGH THE WEEK FOR MOST OF
THE AREA. SOUTH OF PORT ARANSAS IN BAYS AND ALONG THE COAST A FRESH
BREEZE WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, AND A LOCALIZED
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE LOW THROUGH
THE PERIOD.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 123 AM CDT TUE AUG 11 2026
MIN RHS WILL BE IN THE 25-30% RANGE EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH THE END
OF THE WEEK IN THE WESTERN BRUSH COUNTRY AND RIO GRANDE PLAINS.
THESE LOW RHS COMBINED WITH ERCS IN THE 70-89TH PERCENTILE RANGE
WILL LEAD TO ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THIS REGION EACH
DAY. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE AROUND 15 MPH, WITH WIND GUSTS IN THE
20-25 MPH RANGE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 95 79 96 79 / 10 0 0 0
VICTORIA 95 77 96 77 / 10 10 10 0
LAREDO 104 78 106 78 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 100 75 101 75 / 10 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 92 82 90 82 / 10 10 10 0
COTULLA 104 77 106 77 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 97 77 99 77 / 10 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 90 82 90 82 / 10 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...PH/83
AVIATION...AE/82
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