115
FXUS64 KCRP 111826
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
126 PM CDT TUE AUG 11 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 123 PM CDT TUE AUG 11 2026
- MODERATE TO MAJOR RISK OF HEAT-RELATED IMPACTS INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK, WITH PEAK AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES OF 110-115
- SLIGHTLY INCREASED RAIN CHANCES FRIDAY AND SATURDAY (20%),
ISOLATED STREAMER AND SEABREEZE SHOWERS OTHER DAYS
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 123 PM CDT TUE AUG 11 2026
A MID-LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST WILL
CONTINUE TO ENFORCE HOT AND GENERALLY RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS THROUGH
THURSDAY. WE'LL SEE THOSE STREAMER CLOUDS MOVING NORTHWARD DAILY,
WITH AN OCCASIONAL SHOWER AS THE SEABREEZE PUSHES IN, BUT MOISTURE
WILL REMAIN NEAR OR BELOW NORMAL FOR AUGUST. AN INVERTED SHORTWAVE
TROUGH WILL RIDE THE SOUTHWESTERN EDGE OF THE RIDGE FRIDAY,
EXTENDING INTO SOUTH TEXAS. THIS WILL INCREASE MOISTURE TO AROUND
THE 75TH PERCENTILE (2.0" PWAT) AND WITH MID-LEVEL VORTICITY
SUPPORT, WARRANT MENTIONABLE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ACROSS
THE COASTAL PLAINS (20%). ENHANCED MOISTURE CAN LINGER INTO
SATURDAY, AND ALLOW A FEW MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP.
MID-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE WESTWARD INTO THE ARKLATEX REGION
AND PROMOTE ANOTHER STRETCH OF HOT AND MAINLY RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS.
HEAT WILL REMAIN OUR PRIMARY CONCERN ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS. EACH
AFTERNOON WILL BE FLIRTING WITH HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA, WITH PEAK
HEAT INDICES OF 110-115 BUT UNCERTAINTIES ON THE DURATION. NO MATTER
WHAT, IT WILL BE HOT AND PRECAUTIONS ARE NECESSARY FOR THE MODERATE
TO MAJOR RISK OF HEAT-RELATED IMPACTS INTACT. HEAT SAFETY MEASURES
ARE ENCOURAGED, PLEASE REMEMBER TO LOOK BEFORE YOU LOCK AND LIMIT
OUTDOOR EXPOSURE.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 123 PM CDT TUE AUG 11 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS WITH BREEZY SOUTHEASTERLY
WINDS SUSTAINED 15-20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS 25-30 KNOTS. WINDS DECREASE
TONIGHT BEFORE BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS IMPACT THE
COASTAL PLAINS BETWEEN 10-14Z, MAINLY IMPACTING ALI/VCT. GIVEN WHAT
HAPPENED THIS MORNING BEING SIMILAR, I WOULDN'T BE SURPRISED IF WE
SEE MVFR CIGS ROLL INTO THE NORTHERN RIO GRANDE PLAINS AND IMPACT
COT BETWEEN 13-15Z. SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS PICK BACK UP MID-MORNING
TOMORROW.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 123 PM CDT TUE AUG 11 2026
MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS WEEK FOR MOST
OF THE WATERS. BAYS AND WATERS ALONG THE COAST SOUTH OF PORT ARANSAS
WILL HAVE A FRESH BREEZE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE NECESSARY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY FOR
THE AFOREMENTIONED AREA. WINDS WEAKEN SLIGHTLY HEADING INTO THE
WEEKEND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 79 94 79 94 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 77 97 77 96 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 78 105 78 105 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 75 101 75 100 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 82 92 82 92 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 77 105 77 105 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 77 98 77 97 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 82 90 82 90 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...EMF/94
AVIATION...EMF/94
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