130
FXUS64 KCRP 121107
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
607 AM CDT WED AUG 12 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 604 AM CDT WED AUG 12 2026
- MODERATE TO EXTREME RISK OF HEAT-RELATED IMPACTS THROUGH NEXT WEEK,
WITH PEAK HEAT INDICES 110 TO 115, ESPECIALLY TODAY AND
THURSDAY.
- LITTLE TO NO RAIN CHANCE THROUGH THURSDAY; LIMITED 20% ON FRIDAY
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 123 AM CDT WED AUG 12 2026
MID-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE PERIOD LEADING TO WARM AND
MOSTLY RAIN FREE CONDITIONS OUTSIDE OF ISOLATED SEABREEZE CONVECTION
EACH DAY. AS WE ENCROACHING ON THE END OF THE WEEK, WE WILL SEE AN
INVERTED TROUGH TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE.
THIS WILL LEAD TO A INCREASE IN MOISTURE REGION, SURGING PWATS
AROUND 2.0 INCHES (75TH PERCENTILE OF CLIMATOLOGY). EXPECT THIS TO
BE ACCOMPANIED WITH SOME ASSOCIATED VORTICITY WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR
SOME AT LEAST LOW RAIN CHANCES (~20%) DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE NEED FOR SOME SHORT- FUSED HEAT RELATED
PRODUCTS. WE COULD SEE HEAT INDICES UP TO 115 AT TIMES WITH DEW
POINTS AROUND THE MID TO UPPER 70S PRESENT THROUGH THE NEXT WEEK.
THIS TRANSLATES TO MODERATE TO EXTREME HEAT STRESS CONDITIONS. WE
STRONGLY ENCOURAGE THE PRACTICE OF HEAT SAFETY IN THESE CONDITIONS.
TAKE FREQUENT BREAKS AND REMEMBER TO STAY HYDRATED, CHECK THOSE
BACKSEATS, AND AVOID LONG EXPOSURE IN THESE TEMPERATURES. FOR MORE
INFORMATION BE SURE TO CHECK OUT WEATHER.GOV/HEATSAFETY.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 604 AM CDT WED AUG 12 2026
ASIDE FROM BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS BROUGHT BY PATCHY FOG THIS
MORNING AND AT THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD AT KVCT, REMAINING
TERMINALS CAN EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE. S/SE'LY
WINDS TODAY INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KTS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 30 KTS,
AND THEN DECREASING AFTER 03Z, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE
KLRD/KCOT, WHICH WILL SEE 15-20 KTS OVERNIGHT THANKS TO INFLUENCE
FORM THE LOW-LEVEL JET.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 123 AM CDT WED AUG 12 2026
MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY FRESH SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THIS WEEK FOR MOST OF THE WATERS. BAYS AND WATERS ALONG THE
COAST SOUTH OF PORT ARANSAS WILL HAVE A FRESH BREEZE DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE NECESSARY
TODAY AND THURSDAY FOR THE AFOREMENTIONED AREA. WINDS WEAKEN
SLIGHTLY HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 123 AM CDT WED AUG 12 2026
MIN RHS WILL BE IN THE 20-30% RANGE EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH THE END
OF THE WEEK IN THE WESTERN BRUSH COUNTRY AND RIO GRANDE PLAINS. LOW
RHS, ERCS IN THE 70-89TH PERCENTILE RANGE, AND GUSTY WINDS WILL LEAD
TO ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THIS REGION. A FIRE DANGER
STATEMENT WAS ISSUED FOR TODAY FROM 1 PM THROUGH 9 PM.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 95 79 94 80 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 98 77 97 77 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 106 78 105 79 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 102 75 100 77 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 92 82 92 82 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 106 77 106 77 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 99 77 98 78 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 90 82 90 82 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...NP/92
AVIATION...AE/82
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