419
FXUS64 KCRP 151827
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
127 PM CDT SAT AUG 15 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 126 PM CDT SAT AUG 15 2026
- MODERATE TO MAJOR RISK OF HEAT-RELATED IMPACTS THROUGH NEXT
WEEK WITH PEAK AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES AROUND 110
- MONITORING DAILY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL OVER THE BRUSH
COUNTRY
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 126 PM CDT SAT AUG 15 2026
THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER SE CONUS WILL MOVE WESTWARD TOMORROW
(SUNDAY) AND CENTER OVER TEXAS, LEADING TO INCREASED SUBSIDENCE,
HOT, AND GENERALLY RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS THROUGH NEXT WORK WEEK. WE
CAN'T COMPLETELY TAKE OUT THE CHANCE FOR A COUPLE SHOWERS OR STORMS
DEVELOPING ALONG THE AFTERNOON SEABREEZE. HIGHS WILL CONTINUE TO
RANGE FROM 90 ALONG THE COAST TO 105 OVER THE BRUSH COUNTRY, WITH
HEAT INDICES PEAKING AROUND 110 EACH AFTERNOON OVER THE COASTAL
PLAINS. THEREFORE A MODERATE TO MAJOR RISK OF HEAT-RELATED IMPACTS
WILL CONTINUE OVER SOUTH TEXAS FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE WITH UIL
WBGT RISKS MAINLY MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HIGH. IN ADDITION TO HEAT
CONCERNS, WE'LL BE MONITORING THE POTENTIAL FOR ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS DAILY OVER THE BRUSH COUNTRY WHERE WINDS OVER 20
MPH MAY COINCIDE WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 30% IN THE
AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING HOURS.
A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION LATE NEXT
WEEK TRIES TO EXTEND SOUTH INTO TEXAS, BUT NO DIRECT INFLUENCES ARE
EXPECTED OVER SOUTH TEXAS NEXT WEEKEND AT THIS TIME. IN FACT,
ANOTHER STRONG MID-LEVEL RIDGE MAY QUICKLY REPLACE AND CENTER OVER
THE SOUTHERN CONUS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 126 PM CDT SAT AUG 15 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON WITH FEW-
SCT AT AROUND 4000 FEET. SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS SUSTAINED AROUND 15
WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING
HOURS BEFORE WEAKENING BELOW 10 KNOTS OVERNIGHT. MVFR CEILINGS
AND VSBYS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN BETWEEN 09-13Z OVER ALI/VCT WITH MVFR
CEILINGS ALSO THREATENING INTO COT/CRP THROUGH 15Z. WINDS WILL BE
AROUND 5 KNOTS WEAKER AT THE END OF THE FORECAST COMPARED TO
TODAY.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 126 PM CDT SAT AUG 15 2026
GENTLE TO MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH NEXT
WEEK, WITH OCCASIONAL FRESH FLOW SOUTH OF PORT ARANSAS RETURNING THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. MINIMAL RAIN CHANCES THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 78 93 77 94 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 74 99 74 99 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 77 103 77 103 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 74 99 74 99 / 0 0 0 10
ROCKPORT 80 91 81 92 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 75 103 75 103 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 76 96 76 97 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 81 90 81 90 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...EMF/94
AVIATION...EMF/94
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