856
FXUS64 KCRP 152314
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
614 PM CDT SAT AUG 15 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 613 PM CDT SAT AUG 15 2026
- MODERATE TO MAJOR RISK OF HEAT-RELATED IMPACTS THROUGH NEXT
WEEK WITH PEAK AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES AROUND 110
- MONITORING DAILY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL OVER THE BRUSH
COUNTRY
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 126 PM CDT SAT AUG 15 2026
THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER SE CONUS WILL MOVE WESTWARD TOMORROW
(SUNDAY) AND CENTER OVER TEXAS, LEADING TO INCREASED SUBSIDENCE,
HOT, AND GENERALLY RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS THROUGH NEXT WORK WEEK. WE
CAN'T COMPLETELY TAKE OUT THE CHANCE FOR A COUPLE SHOWERS OR STORMS
DEVELOPING ALONG THE AFTERNOON SEABREEZE. HIGHS WILL CONTINUE TO
RANGE FROM 90 ALONG THE COAST TO 105 OVER THE BRUSH COUNTRY, WITH
HEAT INDICES PEAKING AROUND 110 EACH AFTERNOON OVER THE COASTAL
PLAINS. THEREFORE A MODERATE TO MAJOR RISK OF HEAT-RELATED IMPACTS
WILL CONTINUE OVER SOUTH TEXAS FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE WITH UIL
WBGT RISKS MAINLY MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HIGH. IN ADDITION TO HEAT
CONCERNS, WE'LL BE MONITORING THE POTENTIAL FOR ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS DAILY OVER THE BRUSH COUNTRY WHERE WINDS OVER 20
MPH MAY COINCIDE WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 30% IN THE
AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING HOURS.
A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION LATE NEXT
WEEK TRIES TO EXTEND SOUTH INTO TEXAS, BUT NO DIRECT INFLUENCES ARE
EXPECTED OVER SOUTH TEXAS NEXT WEEKEND AT THIS TIME. IN FACT,
ANOTHER STRONG MID-LEVEL RIDGE MAY QUICKLY REPLACE AND CENTER OVER
THE SOUTHERN CONUS.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 613 PM CDT SAT AUG 15 2026
MVFR CIGS/VSBYS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS WITH VFR CONDITIONS RETURNING BY AROUND 15Z. EXPECTING WINDS
TO BE A BIT LIGHTER TOMORROW AFTERNOON WITH A SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY
DIRECTION AND GUSTS UP TO AROUND 20-25KT.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 126 PM CDT SAT AUG 15 2026
GENTLE TO MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH NEXT
WEEK, WITH OCCASIONAL FRESH FLOW SOUTH OF PORT ARANSAS RETURNING THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. MINIMAL RAIN CHANCES THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 78 93 77 94 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 74 99 74 99 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 77 103 77 103 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 74 99 74 99 / 0 0 0 10
ROCKPORT 80 91 81 92 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 75 103 75 103 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 76 96 76 97 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 81 90 81 90 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...EMF/94
AVIATION...BF/80
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