874
FXUS64 KCRP 031843
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
143 PM CDT THU SEP 3 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 140 PM CDT THU SEP 3 2026
- MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY EXTREME RISK OF HEAT-RELATED IMPACTS
THROUGH THIS WEEKEND, HEAT INDICES 105-113
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE BRUSH COUNTRY THIS
EVENING
- LOW CHANCES (15-30%) FOR SEA BREEZE SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH
MONDAY. HIGHER CHANCES (30-50%) AROUND THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS
- LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCES (20-40%) FOR SEA BREEZE SHOWERS/STORMS
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 140 PM CDT THU SEP 3 2026
HOT TEMPERATURES CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE
STILL IN CONTROL. THE LEFTOVER DISTURBANCE FROM WHAT WAS EDOUARD
REMAINS NORTHEAST OF THE REGION OF THE SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THIS MID
LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL DRIFT TOWARD OUR AREA AND LINGER THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. THIS, COMBINED WITH INCREASED DEEP MOISTURE WILL BRING RAIN
CHANCES TO THE AREA FOR THE FIRST TIME IN A LITTLE WHILE. VCT AREA
WILL HAVE THE HIGHEST CHANCES WITH UP TO 50% FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
THAT DISTURBANCE OPENS UP/WASHES OUT LATER IN THE WEEKEND, BUT
ANOTHER WAVE OF TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL BE ON ITS HEELS KEEPING THE
POTENTIAL FOR ENHANCED SEA BREEZE ACTIVITY THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF
NEXT WEEK.
TEMPERATURES ARE A BIT TRICKY WITH THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND
RAIN POTENTIAL. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE (25%) THAT HIGH TEMPERATURES
IN THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS DON'T TOP 90 DEGREES TOMORROW, BUT THE
MAJORITY OF GUIDANCE SUGGESTS RAIN COVERAGE WILL BE LIMITED ENOUGH
TO ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO ONCE AGAIN MAKE IT INTO THE MID AND
POSSIBLY UPPER 90S. WILL STICK WITH THE HIGHER TEMPS IN THE
FORECAST, BUT REALIZE IT'S NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION FOR IT TO BE
SEVERAL DEGREES COOLER IN THAT AREA. WE SHOULD DROP TEMPS A NOTCH
THROUGH FOR THE WEEKEND THANKS TO THE INCREASED MOISTURE. WELL TIMED
SHOWERS/STORMS COULD KEEP TEMPS INTO THE LOWER 90S FOR A FEW
LOCATIONS. SEASONAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 140 PM CDT THU SEP 3 2026
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD.
SHOWERS AND STORMS TODAY REMAIN WELL NORTHEAST OF VCT, BUT A FEW
TS COULD MOVE INTO THE VCT AREA BY TOMORROW. HAVE INCLUDED PROB30
FOR THIS LATE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. A FEW STREAMER SHOWERS
WOULD BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST EARLIER THAN THAT. THINK LOW
CLOUDS REMAIN LARGELY FEW TO SCT THROUGH THIS PERIOD, BUT A BRIEF
MVFR CIG CAN'T BE RULED OUT TOWARD MORNING OR WITHIN
SHOWERS/STORMS TOMORROW.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 140 PM CDT THU SEP 3 2026
GENTLE TO MODERATE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW WITH 2-3 FT SEAS IS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING TOMORROW AND PERSISTING EACH
DAY INTO NEXT WEEK. THE BEST CHANCE TOMORROW WILL BE NORTH OF
PORT ARANSAS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 79 96 78 96 / 0 0 10 30
VICTORIA 77 95 76 95 / 10 50 20 50
LAREDO 79 105 79 103 / 10 10 20 20
ALICE 76 100 75 99 / 0 0 10 20
ROCKPORT 81 92 80 93 / 10 30 20 40
COTULLA 77 103 77 102 / 0 0 10 10
KINGSVILLE 77 99 77 100 / 0 0 0 20
NAVY CORPUS 82 93 82 92 / 0 0 10 20
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ234-241>244-246-
247.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...EMF/94
AVIATION...BF/80
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