549
FXUS64 KCRP 071126
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
626 AM CDT MON SEP 7 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 621 AM CDT MON SEP 7 2026
- MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HIGH RISK OF HEAT-RELATED IMPACTS THROUGH
THIS WEEK, PEAK AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES 105-110
- LOW CHANCES (15-30%) FOR SEABREEZE-DRIVEN SHOWERS AND STORMS
EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY. SLIGHTLY GREATER
CHANCES AND COVERAGE WEDNESDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 205 AM CDT MON SEP 7 2026
MID-LEVEL RIDGING WILL BUILD INTO SOUTH TEXAS TODAY AS THE CENTER
FLATTENS OUT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CONUS EARLY THIS WEEK.
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL (75TH PERCENTILE), AROUND 2.0"
PWAT VALUES. WE'LL MAINTAIN LOW SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
ALONG THE SEABREEZE OVER THE INLAND COASTAL PLAINS AND BRUSH COUNTRY
TODAY AND TUESDAY WITH THE ENHANCED MOISTURE IN PLACE. COVERAGE AND
RAIN CHANCES INCREASE A TAD MIDWEEK WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS WEAK
MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVE WESTWARD ACROSS THE GULF TOWARDS THE
TEXAS COAST. HOWEVER, RAIN CHANCES LOWER AGAIN TOWARDS THE END OF
THE WEEK AS ANOTHER MID-LEVEL RIDGE MOVES FROM THE DESERT SOUTHWEST
INTO TEXAS, INCREASING THE HEAT RISK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 621 AM CDT MON SEP 7 2026
A MIX OF MVFR/VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS MORNING ACROSS SOUTH
TEXAS. VFR CONDITIONS THEN EXPECTED THROUGH THE REST OF THIS TAF
PERIOD, ACCOMPANIED BY SOUTHEASTERLY LIGHT WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO
20-25KT. THERE'S A LOW CHANCE FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY NEAR VCT/CRP/ALI.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 205 AM CDT MON SEP 7 2026
LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW DURING THE MORNING HOURS, WILL
INCREASE TO GENTLE TO MODERATE FLOW IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS THROUGH THE WORK WEEK. FLOW INCREASES TO A GENTLE TO MODERATE
WITH OCCASIONALLY FRESH THIS UPCOMING WEEKEND. SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO
GENERALLY RANGE FROM 2-3 FEET, INCREASING A FOOT THIS WEEKEND. WE'LL
HAVE LOW RAIN CHANCES DAILY WITH A MEDIUM CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 205 AM CDT MON SEP 7 2026
ABOVE NORMAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO NEGATE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
THROUGH MUCH OF THIS WORK WEEK AS MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY STAYS
ABOVE 30 PERCENT. DAILY LOW RAIN CHANCES ALONG THE SEABREEZE WITH
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS GENERALLY SUSTAINED BETWEEN 5-15 MPH WITH GUSTS
UP TO 25 MPH. ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CREEP BACK THIS
UPCOMING WEEKEND WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY DROPPING 25-30 PERCENT OVER
THE BRUSH COUNTRY AND WINDS INCREASING SLIGHTLY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 97 79 97 79 / 10 0 20 0
VICTORIA 100 77 100 77 / 20 0 20 10
LAREDO 102 78 102 78 / 0 10 10 10
ALICE 101 75 101 75 / 20 0 20 0
ROCKPORT 93 82 93 81 / 0 0 10 10
COTULLA 101 77 102 77 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 99 77 99 77 / 20 0 20 0
NAVY CORPUS 91 82 91 82 / 0 0 10 10
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...EMF/94
AVIATION...BF/80
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