413
FXUS64 KCRP 080711
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
211 AM CDT TUE SEP 8 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 207 AM CDT TUE SEP 8 2026
- MODERATE TO MAJOR RISK OF HEAT-RELATED IMPACTS EACH AFTERNOON
- LOW CHANCES (10-30%) FOR SEABREEZE-DRIVEN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AND FRIDAY. GREATER CHANCES (20-45%)
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 207 AM CDT TUE SEP 8 2026
WE'LL MAINTAIN A LOW CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE
SEABREEZE THIS AFTERNOON AS HEAT INDICES ONCE AGAIN WILL FLIRT WITH
HEAT ADVISORY CONDITIONS, PEAKING AROUND 110 OVER THE COASTAL
PLAINS. HEAT WILL REMAIN OUR PRIMARY CONCERN EACH AFTERNOON THIS
WEEK, ALL ARE URGED TO CONTINUE PRACTICING HEAT SAFETY.
RAIN CHANCES INCREASE (20-45%) WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS AN INVERTED
MID-LEVEL TROUGH (OR LOW) OVER THE GULF MOVES WESTWARD INTO SOUTH
TEXAS, INCREASING PWAT VALUES TO NEAR 2.25" (90TH PERCENTILE) AND
ENHANCING LIFT SUPPORT. GREATEST COVERAGE IS EXPECTED OVER THE
VICTORIA CROSSROADS. A SERIES OF WEAK MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCES ALONG
THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE WILL KEEP AT LEAST LOW RAIN
CHANCES OVER THE COASTAL PLAINS THROUGH THIS UPCOMING WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 207 AM CDT TUE SEP 8 2026
MVFR/VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED DURING THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD FOLLOWED
BY VFR CONDITIONS AND SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS GUSTING TO 25 KT.
ACCOMPANIED BY A LOW 20% CHANCE OF RAIN ACROSS EASTERN TERMINALS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 207 AM CDT TUE SEP 8 2026
LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW DURING THE MORNING HOURS, WILL
INCREASE TO GENTLE TO MODERATE FLOW IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS THROUGH THURSDAY. FLOW INCREASES TO A GENTLE TO MODERATE WITH
OCCASIONALLY FRESH THIS UPCOMING WEEKEND. SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO
GENERALLY RANGE FROM 2-3 FEET, INCREASING A FOOT THIS WEEKEND. THERE
WILL BE LOW TO MEDIUM RAIN CHANCES DAILY.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 207 AM CDT TUE SEP 8 2026
ABOVE NORMAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO NEGATE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
THROUGH MUCH OF THIS WORK WEEK AS MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY STAYS
ABOVE 30 PERCENT. DAILY LOW RAIN CHANCES ALONG THE SEABREEZE WITH
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS GENERALLY SUSTAINED BETWEEN 5-15 MPH WITH GUSTS
UP TO 25 MPH. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE OVER THE COASTAL PLAINS
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CREEP BACK
THIS UPCOMING WEEKEND WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY DROPPING BRIEFLY TO 25-
30 PERCENT OVER THE BRUSH COUNTRY AND WINDS INCREASING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 97 79 95 78 / 20 0 30 0
VICTORIA 101 77 98 75 / 20 10 50 10
LAREDO 104 78 102 78 / 0 0 0 10
ALICE 101 75 100 75 / 20 0 20 0
ROCKPORT 94 81 93 80 / 10 10 40 10
COTULLA 103 77 102 77 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 99 77 98 76 / 20 0 20 0
NAVY CORPUS 91 82 91 81 / 10 10 20 10
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...EMF/94
AVIATION...BF/80
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page