451  
FNUS75 KCYS 171638  
FWSCYS  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ROB ROY...USFS-MBRTB  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY  
938 AM MST TUE DEC 17 2024  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE AT (307) 772-2227  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
VERY WINDY WEATHER IS EXPECTED OVER THE BURN LOCATION FOR THE NEXT FEW  
DAYS. WEDNESDAY WILL BE THE WINDIEST TIMEFRAME WHERE GUSTS OVER 40 MPH  
ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND THROUGH THE NIGHT. SNOWFALL WILL  
HAVE COME TO AN END BY WEDNESDAY HOWEVER BLOWING SNOW WILL BE PRESENT IN  
ANY OPEN AREAS. SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL BE FAIR DURING THE AFTERNOON GIVEN  
DECENT TRANSPORT FLOW HOWEVER INVERSION HEIGHTS WILL STILL BE QUITE LOW  
IN THE MORNING HOURS. EXCELLENT RH RECOVERY EXPECTED.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY BLOWING  
SNOW EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.  
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 30 MPH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 33 TO 41 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 43 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (19900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (47300 KNOT-FT) BY THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........43 44 44 42 40 38 40 41 44  
WEATHER COV..... PTY  
WEATHER TYPE.... BSN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............19 22 26 27 28 29 27 26 25  
RH..............77 74 66 67 67 64 67 68 74  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W SW W W SW W W SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..26 28 16 28 28 15 29 29 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.40 41 41 41 41 44 44 45 48  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.33 33 35 37 39 40 41 43 43  
SDSPL KT-FT/100020 26 32 38 44 47 47 43 38  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY BLOWING  
SNOW EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 16.  
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. WEST WINDS AROUND 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 45 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 36 TO 41 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (24800 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........40 37 33 31 29 27 25 23 21 23 24 26  
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE.... BSN BSN BSN BSN BSN BSN BSN BSN BSN BSN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............24 23 22 22 21 21 21 21 21 20 20 19  
RH..............74 74 74 75 76 77 77 77 77 79 81 84  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W SW W W SW W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..31 31 17 32 32 21 31 31 23 30 30 24  
20 FT WIND GUST.48 48 49 49 49 32 48 48 48 47 47 47  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.41 39 38 38 39 39 39 38 37 36 36 36  
SDSPL KT-FT/100032 27 25 28 33 37 37 35 33 30 28 26  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY BLOWING SNOW IN  
THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.  
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35  
MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 28 TO 36 MPH DECREASING TO 18 TO 24 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON (10000 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........28 31 33 28 24 19 18 16 15 19 23 27  
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....BSN BSN BSN BSN BSN BSN BSN BSN BSN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............19 20 20 22 24 26 27 28 28 26 24 21  
RH..............83 78 77 74 71 68 65 63 60 63 68 74  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..23 23 22 21 20 18 17 17 16 14 12 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.36 36 33 32 31 29 28 25 24 21 13 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.0 0.8 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.36 36 35 35 33 32 31 30 28 24 22 18  
SDSPL KT-FT/100023 21 21 23 26 29 31 32 30 22 14 9  
 

 
FORECASTER...CHARNICK  
REQUESTED BY...MATTHEW STANLEY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2428648.0/CYS  
.DELDT 12/17/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MATTHEW.STANLEY@USDA.GOV  
 
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