696  
FNUS75 KCYS 191246  
FWSCYS  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CAPE RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY  
546 AM MST THU DEC 19 2024  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE AT (307) 772-2227  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL FOR TODAY AND FRIDAY WITH  
WEAKENING PRESSURE GRADIENTS, HELPING WINDS TO DECREASE  
SOMEWHAT DURING THE DAY TODAY. DRY WEATHER WITH A SLOW WARMING  
TREND WILL PREVAIL.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 16 TO 24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 38  
MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 37 TO 43 MPH DECREASING TO 22 TO 23 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (34900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (99700 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........14 19 20 27 22 18 18 14 25 18 20 15  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............28 27 28 33 38 40 40 41 41 41 38 34  
RH..............59 61 56 48 40 39 37 35 35 35 37 44  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..24 22 22 22 23 21 21 18 16 12 8 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.38 35 35 35 37 33 33 30 25 18 14 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 1.5 1.4 1.8 2.3 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.3 2.9 2.4 1.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.43 39 37 37 39 39 37 33 30 26 23 22  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 4  
SDSPL KT-FT/100062 51 45 58 77 94 100 96 85 67 48 35  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 22.  
MAX HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 22 TO 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (18100 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........15 20 19 18 13 12 15 18 21 26 31 37  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............31 31 30 29 28 28 28 26 25 26 24 26  
RH..............50 46 46 46 47 45 45 47 47 42 46 40  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 12 15 16 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 18 23 25 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.2 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 23 24 24 24 24 24 25 25 25 25 25  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
SDSPL KT-FT/100029 25 23 20 19 18 18 18 19 19 19 19  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.  
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 15 TO 17 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 33 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (17700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (84100 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........41 43 43 40 37 33 31 31 32 33 33 13  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............27 27 30 35 40 43 44 45 47 45 43 42  
RH..............39 38 34 28 25 24 25 25 26 28 30 32  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..16 16 17 17 16 16 16 16 16 16 15 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 26 26 25 25 25 25 25 25 23 23  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.3 2.7 2.9 2.6 2.1 1.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 26 26 28 28 29 31 32 33 32 30 28  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
SDSPL KT-FT/100018 18 20 26 35 46 61 77 84 73 54 38  
 
 
FORECASTER...RUBIN  
REQUESTED BY...PARKER JOHNSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2428731.0/CYS  
.DELDT 12/19/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL PARKER.JOHNSON@USDA.GOV  
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