821  
FNUS75 KCYS 121048  
FWSCYS  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CHADRON CREEK RX...USDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY  
448 AM MDT SUN OCT 12 2025  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE AT (307) 772-2227  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. WESTERLY WINDS  
WILL INCREASE SHORTLY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. REGULAR GUSTS  
TO AROUND 45 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITH MINIMUM RH IN THE UPPER TEENS.  
WINDS WILL DROP OFF QUICKLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON, BECOMING NORTH, THEN  
NORTHEAST, AND FINALLY VARIABLE, BEFORE SETTLING ON SOUTHEAST LATE  
TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE  
MONDAY, GUSTING TO AROUND 30 MPH THROUGH THE DAY. RH WILL BE HIGHER  
MONDAY, ONLY DROPPING TO AROUND 30%. SOUTHEAST WINDS MAY INCREASE  
MONDAY NIGHT.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........18 TO 20 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45  
MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 29 TO 37 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
AROUND 26 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (17700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (92800 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (159900  
KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........8 10 25 19 23 24 13 6 3 4 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............53 52 53 55 56 57 59 60 60 61 59  
RH..............71 69 59 47 37 30 25 21 20 19 23  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..23 23 23 23 22 22 21 21 20 16 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.43 43 43 43 43 41 40 39 36 31 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 2.0 3.4 4.7 5.8 6.8 7.5 7.8 7.7 7.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.29 29 29 31 33 36 37 37 35 30 26  
SDSPL KT-FT/100018 18 51 93 136 180 218 241 233 200 160  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST  
AFTER 3 AM.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.  
MAX HUMIDITY........80 TO 85 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING SETTLING  
ON SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2200 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........6 7 6 5 4 4 5 2 9 6 16 17  
WEATHER COV..... ARS  
WEATHER TYPE.... FST  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............55 52 47 45 44 42 40 38 38 37 37 36  
RH..............29 33 44 49 53 60 64 73 73 75 75 79  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW W W SW SE E E SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 15 13 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 13 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N NE NE E E E E E E SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 12 9 8 8 12 14 14 12 12 15 15  
SDSPL KT-FT/10009 4 3 2 2 3 4 4 3 3 4 4  
   
COLUMBUS DAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
MIN HUMIDITY........30 TO 35 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH GUSTING TO AROUND  
30 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 25  
TO 26 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (77900 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........24 19 18 24 36 37 37 43 50 56 64 71  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............36 36 38 42 47 52 56 57 58 60 58 57  
RH..............79 82 82 73 60 48 40 37 34 32 36 38  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 10 12 12 13 14 14 14 14 14 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 17 18 20 22 23 25 25 25 25 25 26  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.7 2.3 2.9 3.2 3.4 3.4 3.1 2.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S S S S S S S SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 18 18 22 23 24 24 25 25 26 26 25  
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 5 8 21 33 49 60 72 76 78 70 56  
 
 
FORECASTER...NATOLI  
REQUESTED BY...BEN JECH  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2523170.3/CYS  
.DELDT 10/12/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BENJAMIN.J.JECH@USDA.GOV  
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