447  
FNUS75 KCYS 141208  
FWSCYS  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ASH CREEK...GREAT PLAINS DISPATCH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY  
608 AM MDT THU MAY 14 2026  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE AT (307) 772-2227  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MDT FRIDAY FOR THE WESTERN  
NEBRASKA PANHANDLE...  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
VERY DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH  
THE EVENING HOURS. SOUTHWEST WINDS THIS MORNING WILL FLIP TO WESTERLY  
BY 8 AM THIS MORNING WITH WEST-NORTHWESTERLY WINDS EXPECTED BY 11 AM.  
WEST WINDS AFTER 8 AM WILL BE 20 TO 25 MPH GUSTING 35 TO 40 MPH. WINDS  
WILL CONTINUE TO BE ELEVATED THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON HOURS BEFORE  
DECREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH BY 6 PM THIS EVENING. GUSTS THIS EVENING  
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WILL DECREASE TO BELOW 15 MPH. WINDS WILL TURN  
NORTHWESTERLY AFTER 6 PM AND WILL SLOWLY DECREASE FROM 15 TO 20 MPH TO  
5 MPH BY 11 PM. AFTERNOON MINIMUM HUMIDITY WILL BE VERY LOW TODAY, AROUND  
10 PERCENT. HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN VERY LOW THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND  
EVENING BEFORE STARTING TO IMPROVE AFTER 9 PM. OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY  
RECOVERIES WILL BE POOR, WITH HUMIDITIES MAXING OUT AROUND 35 PERCENT  
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. SKIES WILL CLEAR THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS, WITH  
LITTLE TO NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED TODAY OR FRIDAY. ANOTHER DRY AND  
BREEZY DAY IS IN STORE FOR FRIDAY, WITH AFTERNOON MINIMUM HUMIDITY VALUES  
DROPPING TO AROUND 10 PERCENT ONCE AGAIN. WINDS WILL ONLY BE MARGINALLY  
LIGHTER, AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........10 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 15 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......9900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11700 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 29 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (104500 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (288500  
KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........26 36 35 29 40 26 32 12 16 10 8 6  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............67 65 68 70 74 75 75 76 79 80 80 81  
RH..............33 34 31 28 23 21 19 17 14 13 11 10  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W NW NW NW W W W NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 16 17 18 17 16 15 15 15 15 15 16  
20 FT WIND GUST.26 30 33 35 33 30 28 26 26 28 29 29  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.7 2.0 2.4 3.5 4.6 5.5 6.9 8.5 9.9 12 12  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 21 28 26 23 23 22 22 24 26 29 29  
HAINES INDEX....M M M M M M M M M M M M  
SDSPL KT-FT/100010 12 47 56 70 91 105 130 179 229 289 294  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.  
MAX HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO  
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN BECOMING  
LIGHT OVERNIGHT BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 26 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 8 TO 16  
MPH IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH OVERNIGHT  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 7 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (217800 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR  
(2600 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........17 22 12 9 6 4 3 4 5 4 4 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............79 77 71 63 59 56 54 52 51 49 49 48  
RH..............10 10 13 18 22 25 28 31 32 34 34 35  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 13 9 7 6 5 5 5 3 3 3 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.28 23 17 12 10 9 9 8 7 7 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...9.5 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW NW N N N N W SW SW N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.26 16 12 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 7 7  
HAINES INDEX....M M M M M M M M M M M M  
SDSPL KT-FT/1000218 15 5 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........10 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......9700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 15900 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 7 TO 8  
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
WEST 12 TO 21 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO 25 TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (56400 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (366500  
KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........7 7 3 1 2 3 2 4 9 11 21 23  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............48 51 56 63 70 73 74 77 79 80 81 80  
RH..............35 33 29 23 18 16 15 13 11 11 10 11  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 7 8 9 10 12 12 12 13 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 10 12 13 15 17 18 21 22 23 24 24  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.6 1.4 2.6 5.1 7.4 9.7 12 13 13 16 15  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W E E W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 8 12 13 20 21 25 28 26 30 29  
HAINES INDEX....M M M M M M M M M M M M  
SDSPL KT-FT/10003 4 10 26 56 126 174 269 321 296 413 367  
 
 
FORECASTER...MOSE  
REQUESTED BY...DALE RUHOFF  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2613635.0/CYS  
.DELDT 05/14/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DUELL.PUTTERGILL@GMAIL.COM,SDGPC@FIRENET.GOV,DUELL.PUTTERGILL@USDA.GOV  
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