611
FXUS63 KDDC 152029
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
229 PM CST SUN DEC 15 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- ABNORMALLY WARM SUNDAY WITH SOME HIGHS REACHING THE 70S.
- DRY AND QUIET WEATHER THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 225 PM CST SUN DEC 15 2024
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT
PLAINS AND A WARM FRONT HAS JUST EXITED THE FORECAST AREA WITH THE
WESTERN COUNTIES ALREADY REACHING WELL INTO THE 60S AND THE FAR SW
PORTION OF KANSAS PASSING 70 DEGREES. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT
TO FROM THE NORTHWEST. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT (<20 MPH) THROUGH THE
EVENING. THESE WINDS WILL HELP MITIGATE ANY FIRE WEATHER RISK
DESPITE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BETWEEN 15-25%. LATER ON SUNDAY, THE
REMNANTS OF THE ALREADY WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE
FORECAST AREA AND MARGINALLY DECREASE TEMPERATURES. LOWS TONIGHT
WILL BE MORE OF THE SAME WITH WIDESPREAD AT OR BELOW FREEZING WITH
ACCOMPANYING LIGHT WINDS. THE WINDS WILL WEAKEN FURTHER AS A WEAK
HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES IN TO TAKE THE PLACE OF THE SHORTWAVE
THAT HAS MOVED THROUGH.
THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN CONTINUES TO BE HELD BY ENSEMBLES OF A LARGELY
ZONAL FLOW REGIME THROUGH MOST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. ENSEMBLES
CONTINUE TO DEPICT THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS TUESDAY
AND THURSDAY THROUGH THE NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. BEING FAR
ENOUGH NORTH AND WITHOUT UPPER-LEVEL SUPPORT, BOTH OF THESE SYSTEMS
ARE EXPECTED TO HAVE NEGLIGIBLE IMPACTS ON SW KANSAS OUTSIDE OF SOME
WIND AND TEMPERATURES SHIFTS. DUE TO THE TREMENDOUSLY BENIGN WEATHER
PATTERN THROUGH THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE, VERY LITTLE NOTABLE WEATHER
IS EXPECTED ACROSS SW KANSAS. NORMAL TO ABOVE-NORMAL HIGHS ARE
FORECASTED, AND BACK BY ENSEMBLES, THROUGH THE PERIOD AND BEYOND.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1041 AM CST SUN DEC 15 2024
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR ALL TAF SITES. DURING THE PERIOD, A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING THROUGH THE AREA
SHIFTING WINDS CLOCKWISE.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...KBJ
AVIATION...KBJ
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page