662
FXUS63 KDDC 171728
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1128 AM CST TUE DEC 17 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY AND MILD FOR SEVERAL DAYS
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 222 AM CST TUE DEC 17 2024
THE CONTINUATION OF A TRANQUIL AND QUIET WEATHER PATTERN WILL PREVAIL
FOR SEVERAL DAYS. A DRY FROPA WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FA BETWEEN 15Z-20Z.
AS A RESULT, SLIGHTLY COOLER HIGHS AROUND 50F ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE NORTHERN ZONES. FARTHER SOUTH IN THE WARM SECTOR, UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 60S ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ZONES. SOUTHERLY WINDS
WILL EVENTUALLY SWITCH FROM THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH AS THE FRONT
CLEARS THE AREA. WINDS WILL BE OCCASIONALLY BREEZY AT TIMES TODAY.
NOT EXPECTING ANY MAJOR FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS EVEN WITH THE STRONGER
WINDS AS AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON
THE MARGINAL SIDE. WE WILL SEE COOLER HIGHS TOMORROW IN THE WAKE
OF THE FRONT. REALLY NOT COLD BUT MORE HIGHS SHOVED CLOSER TO NORMAL.
EXPECTING A RANGE OF 40S EAST TO 50S WEST. FOR THE REST OF THE BUSINESS
WEEK, BOTH DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE DATA SUPPORT A DRY NORTHWEST
FLOW PATTERN ALOFT. THIS FAVORS A SERIES OF DRY WEAK FROPAS. HIGHS
WILL EBB AND FLOW AS THE AIRMASS IS PARTIALLY MODIFIED ACROSS THE
FA. THIS GENERALLY SUPPORTS NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS AND SEASONABLY
COOL LOWS.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1127 AM CST TUE DEC 17 2024
VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY FOR ALL TERMINALS DURING THE TIME PERIOD. A
WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY THIS AFTERNOON WILL SWITCH THE WINDS FROM
THE SOUTHWEST TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER 19Z FOR ALL THE TERMINALS.
EXPECT WIND SPEEDS TO BY IN THE 10-20 KT RANGE. LATER TONIGHT
AFTER 03Z A STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH WESTERN KANSAS
AND LEAD TO BREEZY WINDS MAINLY FOR DDC AND HYS BETWEEN 03-15Z.
SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE 15-20 KTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS OVER 25
KTS.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...SUGDEN
AVIATION...TATRO
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