496
FXUS63 KDDC 180802
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
202 AM CST WED DEC 18 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY AND MILD FOR SEVERAL DAYS
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 222 AM CST WED DEC 18 2024
THE OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN FOR SEVERAL DAYS WILL BE OF LOW IMPACT
AND TRANQUIL CONDITIONS CONTINUING. WE WILL SEE COOLER CONDITIONS
IN THE WAKE OF A FRONT TODAY. HIGHS SHOULD PEAK FROM THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. THIS REALLY IS NOT COLD AIR FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR AND
WILL ACTUALLY BRING HIGHS CLOSE TO NORMAL. BREEZY NNW WINDS WILL
PREVAIL EARLY THIS MORNING AND WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND BECOME LIGHT
AND VARIABLE AS A HIGH PRESSURE CENTER DROPS SOUTH ACROSS THE FA.
THIS HIGH SHOULD THEN SHIFT OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST BY TONIGHT, WITH
LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE DEPARTING HIGH BY DUSK.
LEE TROUGHING WILL RESUME TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. THIS WILL
KEEP SOUTHERLY WINDS GOING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. WITH THESE WINDS,
DO EXPECT SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL MINS TONIGHT WITH VALUES BOTTOMING
OUT IN THE UPPER 20S. MODERATING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY
WITH HIGHS A BIT WARMER... IN THE UPPER 50S NORTH TO LOWER 60S SOUTH.
DESPITE THE WARMTH, FIRE DANGER DOESN'T LOOK LIKELY THURSDAY, GIVEN
BOTH MARGINAL AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND WIND MAGNITUDES.
FOR THE REST OF THE BUSINESS WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND, BOTH DETERMINISTIC
AND ENSEMBLE MODELS SHOW A DRY NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN ALOFT CONTINUING.
THIS SUPPORTS DRY AND WEAK FROPAS AND TEMPERATURES AT OR ABOVE NORMAL.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1111 PM CST TUE DEC 17 2024
VFR EXPECTED THROUGH TAF PD. NNW WINDS WILL BLOW 15-25 KT THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL EVENTUALLY SHIFT SOUTH THROUGH
THE DAY WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. WEAK SOUTHERLY WINDS
EXPECTED BY TONIGHT AS THE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER SHIFTS OFF TO SE.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...SUGDEN
AVIATION...SUGDEN
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