224
FXUS63 KDDC 220429
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1029 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2024
..UPDATED AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- UNSEASONABLY MILD SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
- SLIGHTLY COOLER, WITH CONSIDERABLE CLOUDS MONDAY.
- LIGHT RAIN POSSIBLE CHRISTMAS NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY.
- QUIET WEATHER CONTINUES WITH NO IMPACTS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 222 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2024
QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL DAYS WITH LITTLE IMPACTS.
FOR TONIGHT, LIGHT WINDS AND A DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE. LOWS
TONIGHT WILL BE FAIRLY CLOSE TO NORMAL WITH VALUES BOTTOMING
OUT IN THE 20S. FOR SUNDAY, A HIGH PLAINS LEE TROUGH WILL
CONTINUE. THE STRONGEST WAA IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WESTERN ZONES
NEAR THE COLORADO BORDER. HERE, HIGHS IN THE 60S LOOKS LIKELY.
COOLER HIGHS ARE EXPECTED FARTHER EAST ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS.
50S FOR HERE. NOT LOOKING ANY ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AS THE
LOWEST RH'S ARE EXPECTED TO BE COLLOCATED WITH THE WEAKEST
WINDS. FOR MONDAY, A DRY FROPA IS EXPECTED. WE WILL SEE COOLER
HIGHS IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WITH 50S AREAWIDE. HAVE PRETTY
GOOD CONFIDENCE IN BOTH THE ENSEMBLE AND DETERMINISTIC MODELS OF
ANY LIGHT QPF REMAINING MAINLY SE OF THE FA MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY MORNING. NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUES
WELL INTO THE MIDWEEK PORTION OF NEXT WEEK. WILL CONTINUE WITH
THE NBM POPS FOR NOW, ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE IS PRETTY LOW AT THIS
TIME WITH THE SPREAD OF ENSEMBLE AND DETERMINISTIC SOLUTIONS
REGARDING THIS LIGHT PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1029 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2024
EXCELLENT FLYING WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD,
WITH VFR/SKC, AND INCREASING CIRRUS TOWARD THE END OF THE TAF
PERIOD. A LIGHT WIND REGIME WILL CONTINUE, WITH SOME SWLY WIND
GUSTS NEAR 20 KTS MIDDAY SUNDAY.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...SUGDEN
AVIATION...TURNER
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