557  
FXUS63 KDDC 160800  
AFDDDC  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS  
200 AM CST THU JAN 16 2025  
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
- GET OUT AND ENJOY THE MILD TEMPS TODAY  
 
- TURNING MUCH COLDER DURING THE WEEKEND  
 
- CONTINUED COLD FOR FIRST HALF OF NEXT BUSINESS WEEK  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 222 AM CST THU JAN 16 2025  
 
TODAY WOULD BE A GOOD DAY TO GET OUT AND ENJOY THE MILD TEMPERATURES  
WHILE THEY STILL EXIST. VERY MILD HIGHS OF 55F TO 60F ARE EXPECTED  
ACROSS THE WESTERN ZONES TODAY. WE WILL SEE COOLER HIGHS WITH 40S  
OVER THE SNOWPACK ACROSS THE EASTERN ZONES. OBVIOUSLY LOWER 50S WILL  
BE SANDWICHED BETWEEN THOSE TWO AREAS. WINDS WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT  
FOR KANSAS WINTER STANDARDS. A LIGHT WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WIND  
EXPECTED FIRST, BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY NOON AND EVENTUALLY  
A LIGHT SOUTHERLY WIND TONIGHT. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE NEAR NORMAL  
WITH VALUES IN THE 20S. A FRONT WILL TRAVERSE THE FA FRIDAY. DO EXPECT  
COOLER HIGHS WITH 50S WEST TO 40S EAST. THE REAL COLD AIR ADVECTION  
STARTS TO SURGE SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE STATE SATURDAY. 850 HPA TEMPERATURES  
LOOK TO CRASH DOWN IN THE -8C TO -12C RANGE. AS A RESULT, EXPECT  
MUCH COLDER HIGHS SATURDAY WITH VALUES ONLY PEAKING IN THE 20S.  
THERE MIGHT BE SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL ACROSS THE WESTERN ZONES AS THE  
SLUG OF ARCTIC AIR SPREADS SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE GREATER REGION. THE  
STRONG ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE PLAINS SUNDAY AND MONDAY.  
MONDAY LOOKS TO BE THE COLDEST DAY WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE TEENS.  
WILL HAVE TO WATCH LOWS SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. LOWS OF -5F  
TO 5F LOOKS LIKELY DURING THIS PERIOD. WIND CHILLS WILL BE QUITE  
COLD AS WELL WITH VALUES BOTTOMING OUT BELOW 0 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.  
SOME LIGHT SNOW CANNOT BE RULED OUT EITHER MONDAY AS THE ARCTIC AIRMASS  
PREVAILS. THIS AIRMASS MIGHT BE DISLODGED TUESDAY AS DOWNSLOPE FLOW  
DEVELOPS OFF THE ROCKIES. AS A RESULT, WE WILL SEE MODERATING TEMPERATURES  
AS THIS FLOW PATTERN CHANGES TO CLOSE OUT THE REST OF THE FORECAST  
PERIOD/BUSINESS WEEK.  
 
 
   
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/  
 
ISSUED AT 1111 PM CST WED JAN 15 2025  
 
VFR EXPECTED THROUGH TAF PD. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.  
 
 
   
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
NONE.  
 
 
 
 
 
DISCUSSION...SUGDEN  
AVIATION...SUGDEN  
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