380
FXUS63 KDDC 190239 CCA
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
449 PM CST TUE FEB 18 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- SNOW COMING TO THE END ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS THIS EVENING.
- LIGHT SNOW REMAINS POSSIBLE ALONG THE I-70 CORRIDOR OVERNIGHT BUT
SHOULD BE LESS THAN AN INCH.
- EXTREMELY COLD TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING. THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND THURSDAY
MORNINGS WITH WIND CHILLS IN THE NEGATIVE TEENS AND NEGATIVE 20S.
- WARMUP EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND WITH DRY CONDITIONS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 242 PM CST TUE FEB 18 2025
THE FIRST ROUND OF SNOW WILL COME TO AN END ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS
THIS EVENING WITH CONTINUED MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES. A WEAK DISTURBANCE
MAY BRING SOME LIGHT SNOW ALONG THE I70 CORRIDOR OVERNIGHT BUT ANY
ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LESS THAN AN INCH. WINDS WILL
GENERALLY BE FROM A NORTHERLY DIRECTION AROUND 10 MPH OVERNIGHT WITH
LOWS DIPPING INTO THE NEGATIVE SINGLE DIGITS TO AROUND -10F. THIS
WILL ALLOW WIND CHILLS TO CONTINUE TO BE IN THE -20S. WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO DECREASE IN SPEED TOMORROW WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS
OVERNIGHT TOMORROW NIGHT. HIGHS TOMORROW WILL ONLY REACH INTO THE
SINGLE DIGITS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF ALONG THE KS/OK BORDER AND FAR
WESTERN KANSAS WHERE AROUND 10 DEGREES OR TEENS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
LOWS TOMORROW NIGHT LOOK TO DIP INTO THE NEGATIVE SINGLE DIGITS WITH
NEGATIVE TEENS POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR NORTHERN ZONES. EVEN THOUGH THE
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT OVERNIGHT TOMORROW NIGHT, WIND CHILLS LOOK TO
ONCE AGAIN DIP INTO THE NEGATIVE TEENS TO AROUND -20F. LEE TROUGHING
DEVELOPS THURSDAY SHIFTING WINDS TO A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION. HIGHS
THURSDAY WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE TEENS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF FAR
SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS WHERE 20S WILL BE OBSERVED. ANOTHER COLD NIGHT
IS EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT WITH LOWS FRIDAY MORNING DIPPING TO
AROUND ZERO DEGREES. WIND CHILLS FRIDAY MORNING WILL GENERALLY BE IN
THE NEGATIVE SINGLE DIGITS TO NEGATIVE TEENS. WE THEN WARM UP THIS
WEEKEND INTO THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK WITH CONTINUED DRY
CONDITIONS. AS OF NOW, HIGHS WILL REACH INTO THE 20S AND 30S FRIDAY,
40S AND 50S SATURDAY, AND POSSIBLY UPPER 50S AND 60S SUNDAY. IF LONG
RANGE ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE CORRECT, WE MAY EVEN REACH CLOSE TO 70
DEGREES MONDAY.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 448 PM CST TUE FEB 18 2025
ALL TAF SITES ARE EXPECTED TO BE AT MVER OR VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. LOWERED CEILINGS, ESPECIALLY EARLY IN THE
PERIOD, WILL START SITES AT MVFR, MOVING TO VFR THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT. HYS SHOULD EXPECT VCSH FROM AROUND 5-11Z AS LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS DESCEND FROM THE NORTHWEST, BUT THE SNOW SHOWERS ARE NOT
FORECASTED TO IMPACT THE TERMINAL. WINDS WILL PRIMARILY BE FROM THE
NORTH AT 10-15 KTS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON CST /11 AM MST/ THURSDAY FOR
KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR KSZ031-046-
065-066-079>081-090.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR KSZ078-
088-089.
DISCUSSION...HOVORKA_42
AVIATION...KBJ
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