703  
FXUS63 KDDC 301638  
AFDDDC  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS  
1138 AM CDT MON JUN 30 2025  
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
- HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS WITH A FLOODING AND DAMAGING WIND RISK  
THIS MORNING  
 
- TEMPERATURES NOT AS HOT  
 
- STORM CHANCES RETURN THIS WEEKEND  
 

 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ISSUED AT 250 AM CDT MON JUN 30 2025  
 
EARLY MORNING RADAR ANALYSIS SHOW TWO AREAS OF STORMS THAT BEAR  
WATCHING AS WE CONTINUE INTO THE REST OF THIS MORNING. THE FIRST  
AREA IS THE HEAVY STORMS IN THE SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE CWA AND  
THE SECOND AREA IS STORM DEVELOPMENT IN NORTHWEST AND NORTH  
CENTRAL KANSAS.  
 
07Z MESOANALYSIS CONTINUE TO SHOW VERY WEAK FLOW ALOFT, LEADING  
TO VERY SLOW STORM MOTIONS. THE AREA ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN  
PORTIONS OF THE CWA FEATURES MAINLY A HEAVY RAIN RISK, WITH SOME  
ISOLATED AREAS OF FLOODING POSSIBLE. FARTHER NORTH FEATURES  
SLIGHTLY STRONGER FLOW AND THAT IS EVIDENCED BY MORE FORWARD  
PROPAGATION OF THE STORMS, AND THAT WILL TRANSLATE INTO OUR  
NORTHERN CWA AS THE MORNING WEARS ON. STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE  
RATES AND CONGEALING INTO MORE OF AN MCS COULD FOSTER STRONG TO  
POTENTIALLY ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AS THE CLUSTER BECOMES  
MORE ORGANIZED. STORMS LOOK TO CLEAR THE EASTERN CWA AFTER 14Z.  
 
AS WE GO INTO LATER TODAY, WE WILL CLEAR OUT AND LEAVE A MAINLY  
DRY FORECAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. HIGH PRESSURE DEVELOPS  
ACROSS THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS, PLACING SOUTHWEST KANSAS IN  
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS. AS SUCH, TEMPERATURES WILL BE NOT AS HOT AS  
THEY HAVE BEEN, ONLY TOPPING OUT IN THE MIDDLE 80S AND LOW 90S  
IN OUR SOUTHEAST COUNTIES.  
 
LOOKING THROUGH MID WEEK, LOW TO VERY LOW STORM CHANCES EXIST,  
WITH TEMPERATURES GRADUALLY WARMING BACK INTO THE 90S BY FRIDAY  
AND THE WEEKEND. STORM CHANCES INCREASE FRIDAY AND INTO THIS  
WEEKEND.  
 

 
   
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/
 
 
ISSUED AT 1137 AM CDT MON JUN 30 2025  
 
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH A FEW MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS.  
WINDS WILL BE FROM THE NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT AND SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH.  
SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE DAY TOMORROW.  
 

 
   
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NONE.  
 

 
 

 
 
DISCUSSION...BENNETT  
AVIATION...HOVORKA_42  
 
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