284
FXUS63 KDDC 010400
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1100 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2025
..UPDATED AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- PLEASANT, BELOW NORMAL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
- DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK, WITH RAIN
CHANCES LIMITED, AND FEW IF ANY IMPACTS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 247 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2025
THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN OVER THE UNITED STATES CAN BE DEPICTED AS
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES AND A RIDGE
OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES. NORTHWEST FLOW IS FOUND OVER THE
CENTRAL PLAINS WITH A FEW SHORTWAVES MOVING THROUGH THIS FLOW
THIS WEEK.
A DRY PATTERN EMERGES THIS EVENING THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF
NEXT WEEK WITH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. A FEW SHOWERS OR STORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS TONIGHT THEN BE PUSHED
SOUTHWARD AS A DRY COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA MONDAY
NIGHT. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT TONIGHT THEN FROM A
NORTHERLY DIRECTION THROUGH TUESDAY. HIGHS SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S WITH FAR
WESTERN KANSAS EXPERIENCING THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES. LOWS WILL
GENERALLY BE IN THE 50S.
LONG RANGE ENSEMBLE MODELS THEN DEPICT AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
DIVING SOUTH FROM CANADA AND INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS MID WEEK.
THIS WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA SOMETIME WEDNESDAY
INCREASING WIND SPEEDS FROM THE NORTH. AS OF NOW TEMPERATURES
DO NOT SEEM TO BE EFFECTED BY THIS FRONT WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S, BUT THIS MAY NEED TO BE ADJUSTED IF
THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH EARLIER THAN EXPECTED. CLOUD COVER
INCREASES BEHIND THIS FRONT WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. EXPECT A DRY DAY ON
THURSDAY WITH A SECONDARY PUSH OF COLD AIR FRIDAY INTO THIS
WEEKEND AS WEAK DISTURBANCES MOVE THROUGH THE AREA BRINGING
PERIODS OF SLIGHT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION. COOLER TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY BEHIND THE FRONT WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S. WE
THEN REBOUND INTO THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S LATE WEEK INTO THE
WEEKEND.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1100 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2025
EXCELLENT FLYING WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH MOST OF
THIS TAF PERIOD, AT GCK/LBL, WITH VFR/SKC AND LIGHT WINDS.
CONSENSUS OF SHORT TERM MODELS SUGGESTS STRATUS WILL DEVELOP AT
HYS/DDC DURING THE 09-12Z MON TIME RANGE, WITH IFR CEILINGS
POSSIBLE. REDUCED VISIBILITY IN BR IS ALSO POSSIBLE DURING THIS
TIME RANGE MONDAY MORNING. VFR IS EXPECTED TO RETURN TO HYS/DDC
AFTER 15Z MON. MODELS SUGGEST SOME SHOWERS NEAR HYS AFTER 18Z
MON, BUT ONLY INCLUDED VCSH FOR NOW.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...HOVORKA_42
AVIATION...TURNER
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