255
FXUS63 KDDC 110504
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1204 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY AND HOT THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
- NEXT CHANCE OF STORMS SATURDAY EVENING
- STORM CHANCES NEXT WEEK AGAIN
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 222 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2025
A MUCH MORE QUIET WEATHER EVENING IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. NO STORMS.
LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE HEADING INTO THE MORNING HOURS. LOWS
TONIGHT WILL BE MILD WITH VALUES IN THE 60S.
FOR THURSDAY, THE WARM SECTOR WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT NORTH. DOWNSLOPE
SSW ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHWEST KANSAS. THIS WILL HELP US TO HAVE
HOTTER HIGHS WITH VALUES IN THE LOW TO MID 90S. LOWS HEADING INTO
FRIDAY MORNING WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL WITH VALUES IN THE MID TO UPPER
60S.
MORE OF THE SAME IS EXPECTED FRIDAY. THE DOWNSLOPE SSW FLOW PATTERN
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE FA. HIGHS WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 90S FOR
THE FA. ABOVE NORMAL LOWS ARE EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN WITH VALUES IN
THE MID TO UPPER 60S.
ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO SATURDAY EVENING. A WEAK FRONT IS EXPECTED
TO PASS THROUGH WESTERN KANSAS. STORMS MAY FIRE OFF THE FRONT. THE
NBM HAS 35% TO 55% POPS TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS STORM POTENTIAL. SOME
OF THE STORMS COULD BE STRONG, SO IS SOMETHING TO WATCH AND SEE
IF THIS STRONG POTENTIAL CONTINUES OR NOT. SOME MINOR GOOD NEWS IS
THAT WE WILL SEE COOLER HIGHS WITH THE STORMS AND CLOUD COVER AROUND
SATURDAY. THE COOLER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE FOR SUNDAY AROUND. ISOLATED
STORM CHANCES MAY EXIST ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS.
FOR THE NEXT BUSINESS WEEK, AN UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL START TO APPROACH
THE REGION MIDWEEK. ISOLATED STORM CHANCES WILL BE COULD BE ASSOCIATED
WITH THAT. TEMPERATURES DURING THIS PERIOD LOOK TO BE FAIRLY WARM
WITH VALUES IN THE 80S FOR HIGHS AND 50S AND 60S FOR LOWS.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 1204 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
EXPECTING A QUIET NIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
KANSAS. A COUPLE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG
THE KS/OK BORDER, SO THEIR PROGRESSION MAY NEED TO BE MONITORED
FOR LBL, BUT OTHER THAN THAT, QUIET THROUGH THE NIGHT. BREEZY
CONDITIONS DOMINATE THE FORECAST INTO THE DAY THURSDAY WITH
SOUTHERLY WINDS GENERALLY 10-15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 25
KNOTS AT TIMES. VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE TAF
PERIOD.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...SUGDEN
AVIATION...BENNETT
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