722
FXUS63 KDDC 100807
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
307 AM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- CONTINUED TRANQUIL CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS WEEKEND
- UNSEASONABLE TEMPERATURES THROUGH THIS WEEKEND
- LOW PRECIPITATION CHANCES AND COOLER TEMPERATURES INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 307 AM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
RIDGE CONTINUES TO BUILD ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS THIS MORNING,
LEADING TO THE CONTINUATION OF THE ONGOING BENIGN, BUT WARMING
TREND. THIS MORE TRANQUIL PATTERN IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE INTO
THIS WEEKEND AS RIDGING CONTINUES TO AMPLIFY, BUT SLIDING EAST
OF THE AREA BY THIS WEEKEND. SENSIBLE WEATHER THROUGH THE
WEEKEND WILL FEATURE ABOVE CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMS FOR
TEMPERATURES. FORECAST HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S (LOW 90S IN
SOUTH-CENTRAL KANSAS) IS AROUND 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
WHEREAS FORECAST LOWS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE LOW
TO MID 60S, A SIMILAR DEPARTURE FROM NORMAL AS THE HIGHS.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE NEARLY ZERO THROUGH THE WEEKEND GIVEN
THE PATTERN.
INTO NEXT WEEK, STILL EXPECTING ONLY LOW CHANCES AT
PRECIPITATION DESPITE MORE AMPLIFIED TROUGHING SETTING UP TO
THE WEST. PACIFIC TROPICAL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO STRUGGLE TO
ADVECT NORTHWARD, PRIMARILY STAYING ACROSS ARIZONA AND NEW
MEXICO. NBM STILL HOLDING LOW POPS (20-30%) MONDAY AND INTO
TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH MORE SEASONABLE, OR EVEN A
FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL MONDAY AND TUESDAY, BUT EXPECTING HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO REBOUND BACK INTO THE 80S AS RIDGING TRIES TO
BUILD BACK INTO THE PLAINS INTO MID TO LATE WEEK NEXT WEEK.
WHILE THERE WILL BE LINGERING TROUGHS TO THE WEST, NOT
ANTICIPATING ANY SIGNIFICANT SYSTEMS TO EMERGE FROM THAT PATTERN
AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1146 PM CDT THU OCT 9 2025
COLD FRONT SITUATED ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL KANSAS WILL CONTINUE TO
SWEEP SOUTHWARD ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL KANSAS THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT AND INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. THE TWO IMPACTS
FROM THIS COLD FRONT PASSAGE WILL BE A WIND SHIFT FROM SOUTHERLY
TO MORE NORTHERLY AND THE POTENTIAL FOR AREAS OF PATCHY FOG
OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING. WINDS WILL BE 5-10 KNOTS ON EITHER
SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY. REGARDING FOG, THE CURRENT EXPECTATION IS
FOR VISIBILITIES TO DROP TO 3 TO 5 MILES, SO WIDESPREAD DENSE
FOG IS NOT ANTICIPATED. HOWEVER, FOG TRENDS WILL NEED TO BE
MONITORED THROUGH THE MORNING. ANY FOG THAT DOES HAPPEN TO
DEVELOP WILL TAPER OFF INTO MID MORNING. INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON,
WINDS WILL SHIFT OUT OF THE EASTWARD DIRECTION BEHIND THE COLD
FRONT.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...BENNETT
AVIATION...BENNETT
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