636
FXUS63 KDDC 101016
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
516 AM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- CONTINUED TRANQUIL CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS WEEKEND
- UNSEASONABLE TEMPERATURES THROUGH THIS WEEKEND
- LOW PRECIPITATION CHANCES AND COOLER TEMPERATURES INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 307 AM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
RIDGE CONTINUES TO BUILD ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS THIS MORNING,
LEADING TO THE CONTINUATION OF THE ONGOING BENIGN, BUT WARMING
TREND. THIS MORE TRANQUIL PATTERN IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE INTO
THIS WEEKEND AS RIDGING CONTINUES TO AMPLIFY, BUT SLIDING EAST
OF THE AREA BY THIS WEEKEND. SENSIBLE WEATHER THROUGH THE
WEEKEND WILL FEATURE ABOVE CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMS FOR
TEMPERATURES. FORECAST HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S (LOW 90S IN
SOUTH-CENTRAL KANSAS) IS AROUND 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
WHEREAS FORECAST LOWS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE LOW
TO MID 60S, A SIMILAR DEPARTURE FROM NORMAL AS THE HIGHS.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE NEARLY ZERO THROUGH THE WEEKEND GIVEN
THE PATTERN.
INTO NEXT WEEK, STILL EXPECTING ONLY LOW CHANCES AT
PRECIPITATION DESPITE MORE AMPLIFIED TROUGHING SETTING UP TO
THE WEST. PACIFIC TROPICAL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO STRUGGLE TO
ADVECT NORTHWARD, PRIMARILY STAYING ACROSS ARIZONA AND NEW
MEXICO. NBM STILL HOLDING LOW POPS (20-30%) MONDAY AND INTO
TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH MORE SEASONABLE, OR EVEN A
FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL MONDAY AND TUESDAY, BUT EXPECTING HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO REBOUND BACK INTO THE 80S AS RIDGING TRIES TO
BUILD BACK INTO THE PLAINS INTO MID TO LATE WEEK NEXT WEEK.
WHILE THERE WILL BE LINGERING TROUGHS TO THE WEST, NOT
ANTICIPATING ANY SIGNIFICANT SYSTEMS TO EMERGE FROM THAT PATTERN
AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 516 AM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
FOG HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS AREAS OF WESTERN AND NORTHWESTERN
KANSAS, BUT HAS ULTIMATELY STAYED AWAY FROM THE TERMINALS IN
SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL KANSAS SO FAR. THERE STILL DOES EXIST THE
POTENTIAL FOR PATCHY FOG EARLY THIS MORNING, ESPECIALLY AT HYS
AND GCK TERMINALS. DDC AND LBL SHOULD REMAIN SOUTH OF THE AREA
OF POTENTIAL FOG. HOWEVER, FOG IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE DENSE, AND
MAY ONLY REDUCE VISIBILITY SPORADICALLY DOWN TO 3-5 MILES. ANY
FOG THAT HAPPENS TO DEVELOP WILL TAPER OFF BY MID MORNING.
OTHERWISE, EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE
TAF PERIOD.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...BENNETT
AVIATION...BENNETT
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