620
FXUS63 KDDC 151656
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1156 AM CDT WED OCT 15 2025
..UPDATED AVIATION/KEY MESSAGES
KEY MESSAGES
- UNSEASONABLY WARM WITH STRONG SOUTH WINDS WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY.
- ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS NORTHWEST ZONES THURSDAY EVENING, AND
SOUTHEAST ZONES FRIDAY EVENING.
- FANTASTIC FALL FRIDAY WITH MILD TEMPERATURES AND MUCH LESS
WIND.
- COLD FRONT ARRIVES SATURDAY WITH STRONG NORTH WINDS.
- MUCH COLDER SUNDAY MORNING, IN THE UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 218 AM CDT WED OCT 15 2025
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PLAINS WILL
BE PUSHED EASTWARD AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW EJECTS NORTHEASTWARD
FROM THE GREAT BASIN TODAY TO SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA BY FRIDAY.
THIS WILL ALLOW LEE TROUGHING TO STRENGTHEN ACROSS EASTERN
COLORADO BRINGING STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS TO WESTERN KANSAS
THROUGH TOMORROW. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TOMORROW
AFTERNOON WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF STORMS ACROSS OUR WESTERN
ZONES TOMORROW AFTERNOON AS A UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE CREATES
ENOUGH LIFT ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN KANSAS. IF
STORMS DO FORM TOMORROW AFTERNOON THE STRONGEST WILL BE CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. OTHERWISE EXPECT
SOME HIGH CLOUDS TODAY THROUGH TOMORROW. AS FOR TEMPERATURES,
HIGH WILL SOAR INTO THE LOW 80S TODAY AND AROUND 80 DEGREES
TOMORROW. LOWS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE UPPER 50S TONIGHT AND
RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S WEST TO LOW 60S EAST TOMORROW NIGHT.
AS THE TROUGH SPREADS ONTO THE PLAINS FRIDAY WITH LOWERING
HEIGHTS, THE PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL COLLAPSE, WITH MUCH
LIGHTER WINDS. A FANTASTIC FALL FRIDAY WILL RESULT, WITH LIGHT
WINDS AND COMFORTABLE TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S. MODELS CONTINUE
TO TREND WEAKER WITH A WEAK DRY COLD FRONT PASSAGE SATURDAY,
WITH LIGHT NORTH WINDS AND ABOUT 5 DEGREES OF COOLING.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1156 AM CDT WED OCT 15 2025
VFR/SKC WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD, BUT STRONG SOUTH
WINDS WILL IMPACT AVIATION OPERATIONS. SOUTH WINDS WILL GUST
30-32 KTS AT ALL AIRPORTS THROUGH 00Z THU. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST
WINDS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED AFTER SUNSET THROUGH THE NIGHT,
AVERAGING 10-15 KTS. AFTER 15Z THU, STRONG SOUTH WINDS WILL
RESUME, AGAIN GUSTING 30-32 KTS.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...HOVORKA_42
AVIATION...TURNER
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