936
FXUS63 KDDC 061600
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1000 AM CST THU NOV 6 2025
..UPDATED AVIATION/KEY MESSAGES
KEY MESSAGES
- SOUTHWEST KANSAS WILL REMAIN DRY FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 10
DAYS, THROUGH NOVEMBER 15TH.
- FANTASTIC FALL WEATHER THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
- STRONG NORTH WINDS SATURDAY, GUSTING 40-45 MPH.
- DRAMATICALLY COLDER SUNDAY, WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ONLY
IN THE UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S.
- WIDESPREAD KILLING FREEZE IN THE TEENS AND 20S MONDAY MORNING.
- ANOTHER RAPID WARMING TREND MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 222 AM CST THU NOV 6 2025
A MILD DAY IS EXPECTED TODAY. HIGHS SHOULD PEAK MAINLY IN THE
70S FOR MUCH OF THE FA. 80 DEGREES CANNOT BE RULED OUT NEAR
ELKHART. A WEAK FROPA IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH S/SW WINDS
SWITCHING TO THE NW/N IN THE WAKE OF THE WEAK BOUNDARY. LOWS
TONIGHT WILL BE MILD WITH VALUES IN THE 30S AND 40S. THERE WILL
BE WEAK CAA FRIDAY. HIGHS FRIDAY WILL DECREASE DOWN INTO THE
60S.
WE WILL SEE MORE SIGNIFICANT CAA SUNDAY IN THE WAKE OF A
STRONG FRONT OVER THE WEEKEND. HAVE OPTED TO GO WITH A COLDER
AND WINDIER SOLUTION THAN COMPARED TO THE WARMER AND LESS WINDY
NBM. THIS IS PARTICULARLY TRUE FOR THE SUNDAY AND MONDAY PERIOD.
AGAIN, WENT WITH A MORE COLDER AND WINDY SOLUTION. HIGHS SUNDAY
MAY STRUGGLE TO GET OUT OF THE LOWER 40S. MONDAY MORNING LOOKS
TO BE VERY COLD WITH LOWS IN THE TEENS TO LOWER 20S.
THE COLD AIR WILL NOT STICK AROUND FOR THE LONG OF A PERIOD.
A DOWNSLOPEFLOW PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO RESUME MONDAY. THIS
SHOULD SEND HIGHS BACK INTO THE 50S AND 60S. MORE DOWNSLOPING IS
EXPECTED TUESDAY. HIGHS SHOULD PEAK INTO THE 70S TUESDAY. THE
WARMER AND MILD TEMPERATURES LOOK TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE
PORTION OF THE NEXT BUSINESS WEEK. ALL THE LONG TERM MODELS AS
WELL AS THEIR ENSEMBLE COUNTERPARTS CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE A DRY
FORECAST LASTING THROUGH MID NOVEMBER.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 1000 AM CST THU NOV 6 2025
EXCELLENT FLYING WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD,
WITH VFR/SKC, SCATTERED CIRRUS AND LIGHT WINDS.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...SUGDEN
AVIATION...TURNER
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