128
FXUS63 KDDC 071007
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
407 AM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- PLEASANT FRIDAY WITH NICE TEMPERATURES
- BREEZY TO WINDY SATURDAY AND A BIT COOLER
- SLUG OF MUCH COLDER AIR SUNDAY INTO MONDAY MORNING
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 222 AM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
GET OUT AND ENJOY THE DAY TODAY. HIGHS TODAY SHOULD PEAK INTO THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S. THIS WILL BE THE LAST NICE DAY FOR SEVERAL
DAYS AS AN EVENTUAL SHORT TERM COLDER AIR PATTERN WILL DEVELOP SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY. ON SATURDAY, THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL INCREASE FROM
LOW PRESSURE SOUTH AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE NORTH.
THIS WILL RESULT IN BREEZY TO WINDY NW WINDS DURING THE DAY. HIGHS
WILL BE COOLER WITH VALUES PEAKING IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S.
HAVE GONE WITH STRONGER WINDS THAN WHAT THE NBM WAS ADVERTISING.
ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO SUNDAY. THERE WILL BE BONA FIDE CAA DURING
THE DAY WITH 850 HPA TEMPERATURES DECREASING INTO THE 0C TO -5C RANGE.
THIS SUPPORTS HIGHS STRUGGLING TO GET OUT OF THE 40S DURING THE DAY.
FELT IT WAS BEST TO UNDERCUT THE NBM SOLUTION, PARTICULARLY FOR THE
COLD MONDAY MORNING. LOWS DURING THIS PERIOD WILL RANGE FROM THE
TEENS NORTH TO THE 20S SOUTH. AGAIN, WENT WITH A COOLER AND WINDIER
SOLUTION THAN WAS THE NBM PRODUCED. SOME MINOR GOOD NEWS IS THAT
THE COOLER AIR PERIOD WILL NOT LAST THE LONG. A DOWNSLOPE FLOW PATTERN
IS EXPECTED BY MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS AND WEAK WAA
RETURNING BACK TO SOUTHWEST KANSAS. THIS SHOULD DISLODGE THE COLD
AIR WITH HIGHS RETURNING BACK INTO THE 60S WEST AND 50S EAST MONDAY.
THE WAA PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY. 850 HPA TEMPERATURES SHOULD
PEAK INTO THE TEENS. THIS SUPPORTS HIGHS WELL INTO THE 70S FOR MUCH
OF THE FA. THE QUIET AND DRY WEATHER PATTERN WILL LINGER MIDWEEK.
NONE OF THE LONG TERM MODELS AS WELL AS THEIR ENSEMBLE COUNTERPARTS
ARE SHOWING ANY PRECIPITATION AND A DRY FORECAST SHOULD CONTINUE
THROUGH MID NOVEMBER.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 407 AM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
VFR EXPECTED THROUGH TAF PD. LIGHT NW 5-10 KT WINDS.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...SUGDEN
AVIATION...SUGDEN
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